Arizona Diamondbacks will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday at PNC Park. The pitchers expected to start the game are Paul Skenes and Ryne Nelson. The D-Backs are chasing their fifth straight win as they progress into the middle phase of their series with the Pirates.
The Diamondbacks have started the August in cruise control, beating the Pirates in high-scoring affairs. Arizona has reduced the lead of the Los Angeles Dodgers significantly as the race for leader of the East Division heats up. Meanwhile, the Pirates have struggled, only managing to win five of their last 1o games. Despite the struggles, Pittsburgh remains in the push for a wild card position in the League.
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Odds
| Team | Spread | Total | MoneyLine |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5
-160 |
o7.5
-120 |
+135 |
| Pirates | -1.5
+135 |
u7.5
even |
-160 |
| **ESPN BET Odds Subject to Change** | |||
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Match Details
- Fixture: Diamondbacks vs. Pirates
- Date and Time: August 4, 2024,
- Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
Apex Tale of the Tape
| Diamondbacks | vs. | Pirates |
| 59-51 | Record | 55-54 |
| 5.15 | Runs/G | 4.21 |
| 0.258 | BA | 0.233 |
| 0.329 | OBP | 0.301 |
| 0.425 | SLG | 0.370 |
| 0.754 | OPS | 0.671 |
| 126 | HR | 108 |
| 73 | SB | 64 |
| 4.51 | ERA | 3.82 |
| 1.34 | WHIP | 1.28 |
| 26 | Saves | 27 |
| 0.990 | Fielding % | 0.985 |
Key Stats
Diamondbacks
Over the last six years, Arizona’s games have averaged over 8.5 runs. D-Backs starter Nelson will take the mound for his 19th start of the 2024 MLB season. Nelson usually averages a 4.53 ERA in 105 1/3 innings and 79 strikeouts. The last time he started was against the Nationals, tossing seven scoreless innings while giving up two hits. The right-hander has 6.8 strikeouts per game in the last 20 games of the current season while allowing a batting average of 0.281 to the opponent batters.
The Diamondbacks are ranked 11th in MLB with 126 home runs, slugging 0.425. Arizona’s offense is number two, averaging 5.3 runs every game.
Pirates
The Pirates come into this home game as slight favorites. The home team has won 54.8% of the last 42 games. But, Pittsburgh never takes advantage of their favorite position, winning 50% of the games they are favorites. In the last 10 games, the Pirates had over 4.5 runs per game and are likely to get more runs as the home team.
Reynolds is leading the Pirates in home runs with 18, runs batted in 63, and has the best batting average of 0.286. He is also the 2nd-ranked MLB batter in batting average and 27th in on-base percentage. Paul Skenes starting for the Pirates, gives them an edge to beat D-backs who have been a better team in the entire 2024 season. But, Arizona players will not feel challenged by Skenes and might end up scoring more than five runs.
Prediction
We expect a lot of runs in the home game for the Pirates against the D-backs. Both teams managed to score over 4.5 runs in their previous six games. In their head-to-head encounters, the Diamondbacks have averaged 7.67 per game as the Pirates scored 6.33 runs.
Diamondbacks have been playing excellently, winning their previous four games and losing one in the previous nine matches. Ryne Nelson will start in this away game after his strong showing in the past win. D-backs are underdogs against the home team, Pirates providing an opportunity to get high value.
Final Pick
Diamondbacks(ML), +135, Over 7.5 runs, -120
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