CFL Week 9 Picks: Argos vs. Stamps, August 4, 2024

Argos QB Cameron Dukes in Week 6.

The conclusion to Week 9 in the CFL features two struggling offenses and two defenses headed in opposite directions, as the Argos travel to Alberta to take on the Stampeders. Kickoff is on Sunday night at 7:00 pm EST. Last week, the Argos and Stamps both had a difficult time throwing the football. Toronto had 124 passing yards between two QBs, while Calgary totaled 197 yards, also between two quarterbacks.

This game will come down to the defenses. The Stampeders allowed 404 total yards and 33 points in an embarrassing loss to the Redblacks in Week 8. The Argos, on the other hand, allowed a whopping 432 yards but held the Blue Bombers to only 14 points in an overtime win.

See where these teams rank in our CFL Power Rankings heading into Sunday’s affair.

Toronto Argonauts vs. Calgary Stampeders Odds

Team

Spread

Total

MoneyLine

Toronto +4 (-110) Over 49 (-108) +170
Calgary -4 (-110) Under (-112) -205

**Odds Subject to Change**

Toronto Argonauts vs. Calgary Stampeders Match Details

  • Fixture: Toronto Argonauts @ Calgary Stampeders
  • Date and Time: August 4, 7:00 pm EST

  • Location: Calgary, Alberta

  • Weather: Risk of Thunderstorm, 72 Degrees, Wind 10 MPH

  • Field Type: Turf

Apex Tale of the Tape

Total Apex Sports Bets

Toronto  Argonauts vs. Calgary Stampeders
4-3 Record 3-4
27.7 Points Per Game 23.6
124.4 Rushing Yards Per Game 98.0
220.0 Passing Yards Per Game 254.3
56.9 Offensive Plays Per Game 55.1
45.2% 2nd Down Conversion 40.1%
26.0 Points Allowed 28.1
18 Sacks 8
6 Interceptions 9
65.9 Rushing Yards Allowed 99.7
286.6 Passing Yards Allowed 292.7
2 Turnover Ratio -2
31:28 Time of Possession Per Game 31:28

 

Key Stats

Toronto Argonauts (4-3)

From a betting standpoint, throwing money at anything to do with the passing offense would be the true definition of a gamble. Cameron Dukes and Nick Arbuckle have played in the last few games, and neither of them has been consistent.

The true identity of this offense is the offensive line and the running game. RB Ka’Deem Carey had 62 yards on the ground and 35 receiving yards and is by far the most consistent threat. His 491 rushing yards is second in the CFL while also being first among running backs with three touchdowns.

The defense has been up and down this season, but when they’re up, they are really dominating. Last week they allowed 432 total yards, yet on the back of five takeaways they held the Bombers to only 14 points.  Allowing that many yards is not the norm, as they average 331.9 yards allowed this season, which is second in the CFL. Toronto allowed almost double their average last week in rushing yards, and thankfully, this Calgary running game is good, but not as dominant as the one the Bombers put on the field.

Calgary Stampeders (3-4)

Embed from Getty Images

The good news for Calgary is that it would be very hard for the offense to play as awful as they did last week. They scored six points against the Redblacks. QB  Jake Maier was 20-for-27, but had only 136 yards to show for it. This was his second game under 200 yards. His previous two games he threw a combined 623 yards and five touchdowns, so it’s reasonable to expect a bounce back from him on Sunday.

RB Dedrick Mills is third in the CFL with 406 yards, but his ability in the passing game is what makes him a threat on every play. He caught five passes for 57 yards last week and has 234 yards on the season.

The Stamps allow 99.7 yards per game on the ground, which is the main thing the Argos will be looking to expose on Sunday. Their pass defense allows 292. yards, which is in the bottom of the league, but considering the Argos struggling quarterback room, the defense is going to have a hard night ahead of them in limiting Carey and company.

Prediction

The Calgary Stampeders are undefeated at home, 3-0, and that is the sole reason why they are favored in this game. The Stamps could win this game, but if they do, I see it as a field goal. Take the Argos on the points, but a moneyline play is not out of the question here.

Both of these offenses have been far from reliable. The Argos on consistent production is coming from Carey and the running backs, and no matter how many yards their defense gives up, they’ve been doing a great job at keeping points off of the board. Take under 49 total points.

Final Pick

Toronto Argonauts +3.5 (-110) , Under 49 (-108)

 

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