The 2-0 defending Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs travel to Atlanta to take on the Falcons in Week Three for Sunday Night Football. Kirk Cousins will look to orchestrate his second straight primetime upset. The Falcons looked much improved on offense last week and look to carry that momentum into a big-time matchup versus Kansas City. The Chiefs offense looked a bit sluggish at times last week and now will be down a major piece in Isiah Pacheco.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons Odds
| Team | Spread | Total | Money Line |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -3.5 (-105) | Over 46.5 (-110) | -178 |
| Atlanta Falcons | +3.5 (-115) | Under 46.5 (-110) | +150 |
| **Odds Subject to Change** | |||
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons Match Details
- Fixture: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Date and Time: September 22, 2024 8:20 EST
- Location: Mercedes Benz Stadium
Key Stats
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City comes into Sunday night undefeated at 2-0. The Chiefs narrowly defeated the Bengals last week in Arrowhead 26-25. Kansas City will not have starting running back Isiah Pacheco, as he will miss multiple weeks with leg and ankle injuries. We are looking for a more pass-heavy game script from Kansas City now without a true feature back. This may be advantageous for a Falcons defense that is ninth against the pass through two weeks.
What concerns us from a betting standpoint is a public play in a primetime game. Kansas City is getting over 70% of both spread and money tickets, and Vegas books are predicting they will have a heavy liability on the Chiefs come Sunday night.
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta comes in off a nice 22-21 road win Monday night at Philadelphia and Kirk Cousins played much better with a 117.2 QB rating. He was 20-29 for 241 and two scores and was sacked only once. The Falcons will look to make another statement win in primetime. Atlanta comes in 6-4 SU in their last 10 home games and is getting the sharp money which drove the opening line down from 4.5 to 3.5. Against the Chiefs, Atlanta is 3-2 ATS in their last five and 2-1 ATS last three as an underdog. We like the Falcons in this spot as a great public fade option!
Prediction
Kansas City has strong ATS numbers in their last 10 games. However, they are only 4-5-1 ATS in their last 10 as a favorite, 1-2 ATS in the last three, and 2-3 ATS in the last five versus Atlanta. Atlanta comes in 6-4 SU in their last 10 home games.
Friday afternoon update has the line in some spots down to Atlanta +3 even though 95% of the public cash wagers are on Kansas City. We will follow the sharp money and back the home underdog Falcons +3.5. A bonus wager here is to play the Falcons money line +150 as well.
Final Pick
Atlanta Falcons +3.5 (-105)
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