Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Prediction and Odds | October 12, 2024

The Kentucky Wildcats (3-2) host the Vanderbilt Commodores (3-2) on Saturday night. Both schools compete in the SEC conference, adding significance to this matchup.

Kentucky beat Ole Miss 20-17 last time out, which was a major upset. The Wildcats were propelled by Brock Vandagriff’s 243 passing yards, as well as Josh Kattus’ game-winning rushing touchdown with 2:25 left in the fourth quarter.

Vanderbilt pulled off a huge upset against Alabama this past weekend, winning 40-35 at home. QB Diego Pavia threw two TDs and totaled 252 passing yards in the win.

With both teams coming off of massive wins, which SEC team will keep their momentum going?

Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Odds

Team Spread Total Money Line
Vanderbilt +13.5 (-110) O 44.5 (-110) +400
Kentucky -13.5 (-110) U 44.5 (-110) -550
**Odds Subject to Change**

Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Match Details

  • Fixture: Vanderbilt Commodores @ Kentucky Wildcats
  • Date and Time: Saturday, October 12, 2024, 7:45 PM EST
  • Location: Kroger Field

Key Stats

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Kentucky Wildcats

The Wildcats come into this matchup averaging 22 points per game. QB Brock Vandagriff has racked up 793 yards through the air this season. He’s thrown for 4 TDs through the air, and he’s thrown two interceptions. RB Demie Sumo has rushed for 321 yds on 70 attempts. He’s also rushed for 3 TDs this season. WR Dane Key leads the team with 369 yards on 23 receptions. He’s also caught 1 TD passes this year.

Kentucky’s defense has been their main strength this season. The Wildcats allow 13.4 points per game. The Wildcats are giving up 244.2 yards of total offense per game this year. They also allow 166 passing yards per game. The Wildcats’ opponents are averaging 78.2 rushing yards. LB J.J. Weaver has been a bright spot on defense, entering with three sacks, 12 tackles, and three tfl.

Vanderbilt Commodores

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Vanderbilt’s offense has been very good so far. The Commodores average 37.6 points per game. QB Diego Pavia has thrown for 973 yards this season. He also enters Saturday’s game with 8 TDs and 0 interceptions on the year. QB Diego Pavia has rushed for 335 yards on 91 attempts. He’s also rushed for 2 TD this season. TE Eli Stowers leads the team with 333 yards on 25 receptions. He’s also tallied 1 TD this season.

Vanderbilt’s defense has been right around average this season. The Commodores allow 25.6 points per game. The Commodores allow 346 yards of total offense on average. They’re also giving up 231.6 passing yards per game. The Commodores’ opponents average 114.4 rushing yards this season. DL Khordae Sydnor has stood out on defense, coming in with two sacks, three tackles, and two tfl.

Prediction

The Wildcats are two-touchdown favorites here; however, after seeing Vanderbilt shock Alabama, it’s hard to pick against them. The Commodores are slightly weaker on paper, and of course, Kentucky is home, but Vandy is 4-1 against the spread this season. They also have an elite offense, as they rank 24th in points per game in the NCAA.

Kentucky is 4-1 versus the spread, but they’ve mostly been the underdog in their matchups. The Wildcats not only failed to cover the last time they were favored, but they lost to Georgia State. Expect the visitors to ride their leftover momentum from last week to cover the first half-point spread here.

Final Pick

Vanderbilt 1st Half Point Spread +7.5 (-115)

 

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