This UConn vs. USC Women’s Basketball Preview, Prediction, and Odds will look at the Elite Eight game on Monday. The winner will make the Final Four in the 2025 NCAA Division I women’s basketball tournament. Both the Huskies and Trojans have won three games in the Spokane Regional 4 to get to this game. The winner will play the Spokane Regional 1 winner, UCLA, in the Final Four on Friday, April 4.
UConn vs. USC Odds
| Team | Spread | Total | Money Line |
| UConn | -13.5 | 140.5o | -1300 |
| USC | +13.5 | 140.5u | +800 |
| **Odds Subject to Change** | |||
Game Details
- Game: Connecticut Huskies vs. USC Trojans
- Date and Time: Monday, March 31, 2025, 9 EDT/6 PDT
- Location: Spokane Arena, Spokane, Washington
- TV Coverage: ESPN
Key Stats
Connecticut Huskies
Big East champions UConn (34-3, 21-0 in Big East) defeated Arkansas State by 69 (103-34), South Dakota State by 34 (91-57), and Oklahoma by 23 (82-59) to get to this Elite Eight showdown. The Huskies are the No. 2 seed in the regional, but Paige Bueckers and Connecticut have become the team to beat in this tournament.
Bueckers (19.8 PPG, 4.4 RPG) had a career-high 40 in the romp over the Sooners last time out. The Huskies are a very deep team with Sarah Strong (15.9 PPG, 8.5 RPG), Azzi Fudd (13.3 PPG), Ashlynn Shade (8.2 PPG), Kaitlyn Chen (6.9 PPG), and Jana El Alfy (5.2 PPG, 5.1 RPG).
UConn Trends
- The Huskies have won 11 straight games.
- UConn has won its last 5 games by an average of 34.8 PPG
- The Huskies went 3-0-0 ATS in the Big East Tournament
- UConn is a perfect 3-0-0 ATS in the NCAAW Tournament
USC Trojans
The Women of Troy encountered a huge blow when star JuJu Watkins (23.9 PPG) suffered a knee injury against Mississippi State, so USC’s (31-3, 18-2 in Big Ten) chances and odds have been affected by that sad reality. The No. 1 seed Trojans have beaten UNC Greensboro by 46 (71-25), Mississippi State by 37 (96-59), and Kansas State by 6 (67-61) in their last game in Spokane to get to the Elite Eight.
Freshman Kennedy Smith scored 19 points for USC in the win over the Wildcats. WIth Watkins out, Smith (9.6 PPG, 4.3 RPG), Kiki Irifen (18.2 PPG, 8.4 RPG), Rayah Marshall (7.5 PPG, 8.2 RPG), and Avery Howell (7.4 PPG) will have to pick up the slack.
USC Trends
- USC has won their 3 NCAAW Tournament games by an average of 29.6 PPG.
- The Trojans won the NCAAW championships in 1983 and 1984.
- JuJu Watkins was No. 4 in the nation in scoring.
- USC is also a perfect 3-0-0 ATS in the NCAAW Tournament.
Prediction
Very seldom will you see a No. 2 seed favored by 13.5 points over a No. 1 seed, but that’s what we have here in this Elite Eight showdown. With Watkins out, this line may be 10 points more than it would have been, but either way, the Huskies would be favored in this one.
Before the Sweet 16, oddsmakers had two-time defending champions South Carolina as the favorites to win it all, but now Bueckers and UConn are +160 to claim the crown, with the Gamecocks priced at +200. South Carolina will play Monday’s Texas-TCU (ESPN, 7 EDT/4 PDT) winner in the Final Four on April 4.
This game may be close in the first quarter, but expect the Huskies to push out to a 10-point (or more) lead at halftime for legendary head coach Geno Auriemma. With Bueckers, Strong, and Fudd all able to fill it up, Connecticut could win by 20 or more again. The Huskies’ last 5 wins have been by 23, 24, 69, 20, and 28 points. These two teams also met last year in the Elite Eight, where UConn won 80-73 in Portland.
Final Pick
Connecticut -13.5
