Finally, Super Bowl 58 is between the San Francisco 49ers (12-5) and the Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) this upcoming Sunday! Neutrals may focus on the commercials or halftime show, but we know what is the most important aspect of this game! Of course, it’s Super Bowl Sunday Betting!
While there are tons of options, in terms of prop bets and Gatorade color, it can be easy to forget that a game is being played as well! So what is the correct approach when considering the spread and over/under for this game?
Super Bowl Betting Odds and Details
| Team | Spread | Total | MoneyLine |
| San Francisco 49ers | -2 -105 |
O47.5 -110 |
-125 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | +2 -115 |
U47.5 -110 |
+105 |
| **Odds Courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook** | |||
- Fixture: San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl 58
- Date And Time: February 11, 2024 @ 6:30 p.m. EST
- Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV
- Weather: N/A- Climate-controlled, fully enclosed dome
Key Stats
San Francisco 49ers (Playoffs Only)
- Points Per Game: 29.0
- Points Allowed Per Game: 26.0
- 3rd Down Efficiency: 16/28 for 57.14%
- 4th Down Efficiency: 0/1 for 0%
- Net Passing Yards Per Game: 251.5
- Yards Per Pass Attempt: 7.4
- Passing TDs: 2
- Rushing Yards Per Game: 133.0
- Rushing TDs: 5
- Sacks: 3
- Interceptions: 2
The San Francisco 49ers will represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. Although they looked like the best times throughout the season, they have also looked vulnerable. Despite having the best all-around roster, they have proven to be mortal. however, at the same time, they have also shown just how dominant they can be! Additionally, they showed another side to this team that we haven’t seen before. Notably in the playoffs, the 49ers were forced to win and comeback from behind.
It’s been a season full of DIMES from Brock Purdy 🎯 pic.twitter.com/CMoJ2zLveb
— The Warner House (@TheWarnerHouse_) February 5, 2024
While people (wrongly) continue to have questions about Brock Purdy, the offense is largely centered around the success of Christian McCaffrey. While most teams try to get their running back going to open up the rest of their offense, McCaffrey is the initiator in a variety of roles. Whether it’s avoiding would-be tacklers or catching passes off of quick screens, he’s always good for a big play. Also, Deebo Samuel is a consistent threat, who finds ways to get open. With an additional week to recover, he should pose problems for the Chiefs secondary in the Super Bowl.
Kansas City Chiefs (Playoffs Only)
- Points Per Game: 23.3
- Points Allowed Per Game: 13.7
- 3rd Down Efficiency: 15/38 for 39.47%
- 4th Down Efficiency: 2/3 for 66.67%
- Net Passing Yards Per Game: 235.7
- Yards Per Pass Attempt: 7.0
- Passing TDs: 4
- Rushing Yards Per Game: 127.3
- Rushing TDs: 3
- Sacks: 2
- Interceptions: 0
The Kansas City Chiefs are the reigning champs, despite a regular season that many thought was underwhelming. However, aside from an increased attention drawn to Travis Kelce’s dating life, they have one thing to hang their hat on. Even in an off-year, Patrick Mahomes remains one of the best to ever play the quarterback position. In a single game, it doesn’t matter if the offense hasn’t played well this year, he can showcase his superhero potential on the biggest stage.
🔥One of the major keys to pass rushing is to match your hands to the type of punch your opponent uses.
For example, if you’re opponent attacks with a high hand punch…
…it would be best to use a lift or swipe against him.
Here’s an example of this from Chris Jones: pic.twitter.com/MAgn4m1jD5
— Craig Roh (@craigroh) January 29, 2024
Also, there is an overlooked aspect to this potential Super Bowl-winning run. The defense has led the way for this team. While the young receiving corps has received many headlines, Chris Jones has anchored a very strong defensive unit. If both sides were to somehow find a way to play well consistently, they would have a 10-year dynasty from now!
Super Bowl Game Prediction
While the Chiefs have shown the ability to win when it matters most, this year seems too different. Yes, defense wins championships, but scoring has to matter. Although their defense has been playing well, they have been carrying the overall team success too much this year. Even with Mahomes and Kelce, their AFC championship outburst seems like more of an outlier than a return of their great combined play.
Conversely, the 49ers have now proven that they can win any way that is asked of them. Ultimately, the two-dimensional approach and ability to run on the one weakness of the Chief’s defense is too much to overlook. I expect the Chiefs to either sell out to stop the run or live with grinding long drives on the ground. Regardless, this favors the 49ers the score points on their way to securing the Super Bowl win. Additionally, it wouldn’t be surprising for a team to score in the mid-to-high twenties. While I’m not expecting a blowout, points will likely come easier than what many are anticipating.
Final Super Bowl Pick
San Francisco 49ers -2 and Over 47.5
