Phoenix Suns vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Preview Prediction, and Odds | April 26, 2024

Phoenix Suns

APRIL 26, 2024 — Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome back to our NBA playoff coverage here at Total Apex Sports. One of the games on tap from today’s slate features the Phoenix Suns (49-35 SU, 35-47-2) hosting the Minnesota Timberwolves (58-26 SU, 42-41-1 ATS).

Can the Suns find a way to bounce back from back-to-back losses in the first two games of the series, or will the Timberwolves take a commanding 3-0 lead?

Suns vs. Timberwolves Betting Odds

Phoenix Suns

Team Spread Total MoneyLine
Phoenix Suns -4.5

 

-108

O 207.5

 

-110

-180
Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5

 

-112

U 207.5

 

-110

+150
**Odds Subject to Change**

Suns vs. Timberwolves Game Details

  • Fixture: Phoenix Suns vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Date and Time: Friday, April 26, 2024 @ 10:30 PM ET
  • Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ

Apex Tale of the Tape

Phoenix Suns

vs.

Minnesota Timberwolves

0-2 Record 2-0
94.0 Points Per Game 112.5
44.4 FG% 47.6
34.0 3PT% 32.8
34.5 Rebounds Per Game 45.5
112.5 Points Allowed Per Game  94.0
47.6 Defensive FG%  44.4
 32.8 Defensive 3PT% 34.0
 88.5 Defensive FT% 79.5
34.0 Defensive Rebounds Per Game 27.5
3-2 Last 5 W-L 3-2
98.3 Team Pace 97.1

Key Stats

Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns

  • The Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last seven contests.
  • Phoenix is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six matchups against Minnesota.
  • In their last 14 Friday night games, the Suns are 4-10 against the spread.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • The Timberwolves are 2-4 ATS in their last six outings.
  • Minnesota is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games against Phoenix.
  • In their last 14 road contests, the Timberwolves are 10-4 against the spread

Injury Report

Phoenix Suns

  • Damion Lee — OUT Indefinitely (Knee)
  • Grayson Allen — Questionable (Ankle)

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Kyle Anderson — Questionable (Hip)

Game Prediction

Milwaukee opened as a 3.5-point favorite. At the time of this writing, the line has moved to four points for the home team (per OddShark.com).

The Suns are 16-25-1 in the 42 games they have been installed as a favorite by four points or more. Although the Timberwolves ATS record when playing as an underdog of at least four points isn’t elite (4-6), they cover the spread at a slightly higher rate than the Suns in this scenario (40 percent compared to 38.1 percent).

With that in mind, go with the Suns to win a close one, but opt for Minnesota to cover the spread as the home team tries to get the series closer.

The projected over/under total for this matchup opened at 209 points, but the line has moved to 207.5 points (per Pre-Game.com). Here’s a look at why going with the “over” is the smart play here.

  • The total has gone OVER five times in the Timberwolves last seven games overall.
  • Additionally, in Minnesota’s last eight matchups against Pacific Division opponents, the OVER total is 6-2. 
  • Phoenix and Minnesota have averaged 229.2 points per game, which is 21.7 points more than the over/under (207.5).
  • Opponents of these two teams are averaging 219.7 points per outing, which is 12.2 higher than the projected points total for this matchup.

Final Pick

Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5 (-115) and Over 207.5 (-110)

For More Great Content

To read more great articles from James Tillman III, please continue to read on our main site. Also, check out our fantasy content here! Check out all the great content Total Apex Sports has to offer. Check us out on X @TotalApexSports and our other sites: Total Apex Sports Bets and Total Apex Fantasy Sports.

 

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