Want to get ahead in your NFL Prize Picks betting? With the NFL season fast approaching, bettors of all kinds are searching for the next big future prize pick prop to wager on. Betting on players going over or under a stats line for the season brings plenty of excitement in futures betting. Today, we’ll discuss the best player props for the NFL season on PrizePicks, starting with one of the most reliable players for NFL prop betting.
#1: Josh Allen Over 499.5 Rushing Yards
Josh Allen’s rushing yards prop is one that savvy sports bettors will be all over, and if not, they should be. Here are the major reasons why:
Biggest Change: He lost his two best wide receivers, Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis, leaving him with the worst receiving corps he’s had since 2018.
Gone Above and Beyond: Every year except for one, he has surpassed 499.5 rushing yards; the only exception was in 2020.
Best O-Line He’s Ever Had: He will be playing behind the best offensive line he has ever had, with PFF ranking them 8th going into the season. So when he can’t find anyone open downfield, he’ll be running it thanks to the openings created by his top O-line.
He has surpassed this number in each of the last three seasons, and he is expected to do so again. Bet on Josh Allen to exceed 499.5 rushing yards with PrizePicks. Now, let’s take a look at another Josh who is set to make a major comeback.
#2: Josh Jacobs Over 975.5 Rushing Yards
With Josh Jacobs joining the Green Bay Packers this year, it’s clear he is set to have an amazing season. When I saw the 975.5 rushing yards line on PrizePicks, I thought, “That’s going over easily.” I even consulted a Packers fan, who also believes Jacobs will have a huge year. Let’s examine Josh Jacobs’s rushing yard stats over the years and compare them to the O-line rankings he has had:
- 2019: 1,150 rushing yards (rookie year), O-line ranked 15th
- 2020: 1,065 rushing yards, O-line ranked 24th
- 2021: 872 rushing yards, on pace for over 1,000 yards, averaging 58.1 yards per game, O-line ranked 28th
- 2022: 1,653 rushing yards, O-line ranked 29th
- 2023: Rushed for 805 yards before getting injured in Week 14. Prior to his injury, he averaged 61.9 yards per game, and his O-line was ranked 19th.
As seen here, Jacobs consistently performs well, even with a bad or below-average O-line. Now, he will have a top-10 O-line heading into the 2024 season with the Green Bay Packers. Enough said. Josh Jacobs is poised for a monster season, and I believe he will surpass 1,100 rushing yards this year. Bet on Josh Jacobs to exceed 975.5 rushing yards on PrizePicks.
#3: David Montgomery Over 775.5 Rushing Yards
David Montgomery’s line is set at 775.5 rushing yards for the season, even though he surpassed 1,000 rushing yards last year and the year before. He’s one of the top running backs in the league, protected by the best O-line in the league, and he has a young running back to take the load off when he gets tired. He will most likely get fewer touches than his second-year teammate, running back Jahmyr Gibbs. However, I believe he will still be just as much a part of the running game as he was last year. Given how low the line is, he could easily go over it, as he has done since he entered the NFL.
- 2019: With the Bears, he ran for 889 yards, starting in only eight games
- 2020: Ran for 1,070 rushing yards
- 2021: Ran for 849 rushing yards
- 2022: Ran for 801 rushing yards
- 2023: Ran for 1,015 rushing yards
Now, his line is set for 775.5 rushing yards on PrizePicks. If Jahmyr Gibbs were No. 1 on the depth chart, it might be a different story, but he isn’t. So, I think David Montgomery will come out running. Bet on David Montgomery to exceed 775.5 rushing yards on PrizePicks.
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