Phoenix Suns vs. New Orleans Pelicans Preview Prediction and Odds| April 7, 2024

New Orleans Pelicans

One of the games on tap from tonight’s slate features the New Orleans Pelicans (45-32 ) taking on the Phoenix Suns (46-31) with sixth place on the line.

The Pels are 4-6 in their last 10 contests, following a 111-109 loss to the San Antonio Spurs. CJ McCollum paced the offense with a team-high 31 points.

The Suns have won six of their last 10 decisions. This is no small feat as they have one of the most difficult schedules in the league down the stretch.  In their recent win against the Minnesota Timberwolves, Grayson Allen scored a team-high 23 points on 4-for-8 shooting from beyond the arc.

Can the Pelicans get back on track and avoid the play-in tournament or will the Suns’ recent success continue? 

Suns vs. Pelicans Betting Odds

New Orleans Pelicans

Team Spread Total  MoneyLine
Phoenix Suns -6.5

-110

O 222

-110

-265
New Orleans Pelicans +6.5

-110

U 222

-110

+215
** Odds Subject to Change**

Suns vs. Pelicans Game Details

Phoenix Suns

  • Fixture: New Orleans Pelicans @Phoenix Suns
  • Date and Time: April 6, 2024 @ 6:00 PM EST
  • Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ
  • TV: AZ Family, WVUE

Apex Tale of the Tape

New Orleans Pelicans

vs.

Phoenix Suns

46-31 Record 45-32
116.6 Points Per Game 115.0
49.5 FG% 48.7
38.3 3PT% 37.8
44.4 Rebounds Per Game 45.6
113.5 Points Allowed Per Game  110.6
46.3 Defensive FG%  46.1
 36.3 Defensive 3PT% 34.8
 76.9 Defensive FT% 78.1
30.1 Defensive Rebounds Per Game 32.2
4-1 Last 5 W-L 1-4
97.6 Team Pace 97.2

Key Stats

Phoenix Suns

Phoenix Suns host the Sacramento Kings

  • The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last five outings.
  • Phoenix is 6-2 ATS in its last eight home against against New Orleans.
  • In their last seven games against Southwest Division teams, Phoenix is 2-5 against the spread.

New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans

  • The Pelicans are 1-6 ATS in their last seven contests.
  • New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in their last eight matchups against Phoenix.
  • The Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against the Suns.
  • In their last five April games, New Orleans is 0-5 against the spread. 

Injury Report

Phoenix Suns

  • Damion Lee — OUT Indefinitely (Knee)

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Brandon Ingram — OUT Indefinitely (Knee)
  • Zion  Williamson — Questionable (Finger)
  • Naji Marshall— Questionable (Shoulder)
  • Jose Alvarado — Questionable (Hip)

Game Prediction

The Suns opened as a consensus 5.5-point favorite  That line has inched up to 6.5 points for the home team (per Pre-Game.com). The Suns are 11-16-1 ATS in games where they were favored by 5.5 points or more. The Pelicans are 5-4 against the spread when they have been an underdog by at least 5.5 points. Given these trends, combined with the fact that Williamson may sit this one out, going with the home team to cover is the smart play here.

The projected over/under total for this matchup opened at 223.5 points (per OddShark). At the time of this writing, the line has moved to 222 points (via DraftKings). These two teams are averaging 231.6 points per game this season. This is 9.6 points higher than the projected points total. Additionally, opponents of these two teams have averaged 224.1 points per contest, which is 2.1 points more than the point total for this matchup. That said, go with the “over” total here.

Final Pick

Phoenix Suns -6.5 (-110) and Over 222 (-110)

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