PHOENIX SUNS VS. MILWAUKEE BUCKS PLAYER PROP BETS — MARCH 17, 2024 – Happy Sunday, basketball fans. Welcome back to our NBA coverage here at Total Apex Sports. One of the marquee matchups from today’s slate of games features the Phoenix Suns going on the road to take on the Milwaukee Bucks.
This Phoenix Suns-Milwaukee Bucks matchup features a pair of teams that were victorious in their last outings. The Phoenix Suns knocked off the Charlotte Hornets to the tune of 107-86. Meanwhile, in its recent outing, Milwaukee defeated the Philadelphia 76ers 114-105. Which players will step up and lead their respective teams to victory?
Here is a look at my player prop bets for this contest.
Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks Preview
The key player to watch for the road team is Kevin Durant. He currently has -130 odds of scoring more than 24.5 points and +100 odds of finishing with less than 24.5 points.
The 24.5 total seems a bit low for one of the most prolific scorers in league history. Let’s see how his numbers stack up against the projected points total for this matchup.
- In 28 career games against the Bucks, he is averaging 26 points per game.
- On the season, KD is averaging 28.1 points per outing across 60 appearances.
- In 30 home contests, he is averaging 27.2 PPG.
- Durant has played against Eastern Conference teams 24 times this season. In those contests, he is averaging 28.8 points per outing.
- In eight matchups against Central Division opponents, Durant is averaging 32.4 points per game.
- Over his last 10 outings, Durant has averaged 28.1 points per contest, exceeding the points total for this matchup five times during that stretch.
Based on the above trends, going with the “over” for Durant is the better option.
Prediction: Kevin Durant OVER 24.5 points
Given that Antetokounmpo’s status is “questionable” for this matchup, the key player to watch for the home team is Damian Lillard. He currently has -125 odds of scoring more than 22.5 points and -105 odds of finishing with less than 22.5 points.
Do Lillard’s season numbers compare favorably against the projected points total for this contest? Let’s take a closer look at the tale of the tape.
- In 36 career games against the Suns, Lillard averages 25.7 points per contest.
- On the season, he is averaging 24.3 points per outing across 62 outings.
- In 31 home contests, Lillard is averaging 25.5 PPG.
- Lillard has played against Western Conference teams 21 times this season. In those contests, he is averaging 25.9 points per outing.
- In seven matchups against Pacific Division opponents, Sabonis is averaging 27.1 points per game.
- Over his last 10 outings, Lillard is averaging 23.1 points per outing, exceeding the points total for this matchup four times during that stretch.
Prediction: Damian Lillard OVER 22.5 points
James Tillman’s Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks Player Prop Picks
- Player Prop Bet #1: Kevin Durant (Phoenix Suns) OVER 24.5 points
- Player Prop Bet #2: Damian Lillard (Milwaukee Bucks) OVER 22.5 points
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