We are back again for week four of our NCAA football parlay, to recap, we again went 2-1 Against The Spread with our parlay picks and missed on our parlay. That brings us to a 4-5 record ATS year with our NCAA picks. We will have full disclosure each week to track progress. Remember that the probability of cashing a three-team parlay is 6/1, so a realistic goal is for us to hit on two or three for the season.
In addition, you can play these picks straight up or as a money-line parlay. Our NCAA Football Parlays will target sharp plays, line holds, or games where Vegas books have a heavy liability on one team. In other words, the betting outcome that Vegas books need to profit on the day.
The betting lines are those posted by the consensus at Vegas Insider and are subject to change. To be a profitable sports bettor, the odds are in your favor to stay away from public plays, usually the betting favorite.
Parlay Leg #1: UL Monroe/Texas First Half over 30.5
The opening leg of our parlay will be the first half over 30.5 between the UL Monroe Warhawks and the Texas Longhorns. Texas comes in as a big home favorite with a high implied team total. This is a betting edge we talked about in our wagering series. Texas has dominated both unranked opponents this year averaging 54 points per game.
In those two games, the first-half game totals were 31 and 35 points. UL Monroe comes in off a bye and averaging 31 points per game. Any points we get from UL Monroe will be a bonus but Texas can get us to the 31 we need to cash. Parlay leg number one, UL Monroe Warhawks/Texas Longhorns first half over 30.5.
Parlay Leg #2: Navy +10.5 (Alternate Spread)
Parlay leg number two we go the Navy Midshipman +10 versus Memphis Tigers. The sharps are on Navy as Memphis is getting 79% of the spread bets and yet the line has come down from an opening 11.5 to 9.5. We will buy the full point to get the right number. Navy will look to avenge last year’s close 28-24 defeat to the Tigers in Memphis. In Navy’s last five home games, the midshipmen are 4-1 SU and 3-1-1 ATS. Parlay leg number two is Navy +10.5.
Parlay Leg #3: South Florida +17.5 (Alternate Spread)
We go to South Florida in prime time for the final leg of our parlay. We are backing the Bulls as they take on the Miami Hurricanes. This game is somewhat of a rivalry, a number of both teams in-state recruits played against each other in high school. We spot another sharp play here as Miami is getting 82% of the spread and 77% of money bets. However, the line dropped a full point to 16.5 down the opening 17.5 number.
This is the reverse line movement we also look for each week. South Florida comes in 3-0 ATS to start the season, 7-3 ATS in their last ten, and 5-0 ATS in their last five. In contrast, Miami is 5-5 ATS last 10 as a favorite and on the road. Final parlay leg we buy back the full point and take USF Bulls +17.5.
Total Parlay Odds:
FanDuel Sportsbook ATS Parlay +580 /Moneyline Parlay +5155
Bonus play: BYU +6.5 buy to 7 or 7.5
*Odds Subject to Change*
For More Great Content
Are you desiring top-tier content that covers everything? Total Apex covers everything from thrilling sports and intoxicating entertainment news to gaming tips and professional betting advice. Delve into our no-fluff articles to stay ahead of the game with the latest sports action, uncover the hottest trends in entertainment, and get the latest scoops in the gaming industry that will take your experiences to the next level.
Finally, our betting advice will give you a decisive edge over the competition and increase your odds of beating the books. Whether you want to stay updated or gain a competitive edge, Total Apex is your one-stop shop for all things compelling and relevant. Don’t forget we cover Fantasy Sports, too!
Check out all our sites: Total Apex Sports, Total Apex Fantasy Sports, Total Apex Entertainment, Total Apex Sports Bets, and Total Apex Gaming. Out of the ashes of obscurity will rise a beast. Always remember to Respect The Hustle! Follow us on Twitter/X @TotalApexSports to stay informed.
