Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome back to our NBA playoff coverage here at Total Apex Sports. One of the games on tap from today’s slate features the New York Knicks (57-37 SU, 50-43-1 ATS) hosting the Indiana Pacers (54-41 SU, 50-42-3 ATS).
On one side of the matchup, we have an injury-riddled Knicks team that came up short in Game 6, dropping that contest by a 116-103 margin. Although the Pacers will not be an easy out by any means, the Knicks are a much better team at Madison Square Garden, which is the venue for Game 7.
On the other hand, we have a Pacers squad that kept its season alive with a double-digit margin in Game 6. However, while the Pacers have held serve on their home court, they are 1-5 on the road in the postseason, including a 0-3 record against the Knicks in this series. Will Indiana change that trend, or will the home team win out once again?
Now that we have set the stage for this Game 7 matchup, let’s dive into the betting trends for both teams.
Knicks vs. Pacers Betting Odds
| Team | Spread | Total | MoneyLine |
| Indiana Pacers | +3
-108 |
O 207.5
-110 |
+130 |
| New York Knicks | -3
-112 |
U 207.5
-110 |
-155 |
| **Odds Subject to Change** | |||
Knicks vs. Pacers Game Details
- Fixture: Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks
- Date and Time: Sunday, May 19, 2024 @ 3:30 PM ET
- Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, NY
Apex Tale of the Tape
|
New York Knicks |
vs. |
Indiana Pacers |
| 7-5 | Record | 7-5 |
| 110.0 | Points Per Game | 112.9 |
| 45.5 | FG% | 49.4 |
| 37.6 | 3PT% | 37.1 |
| 44.1 | Rebounds Per Game | 41.6 |
| 110.9 | Points Allowed Per Game | 110.5 |
| 47.1 | Defensive FG% | 47.8 |
| 36.8 | Defensive 3PT% | 39.2 |
| 78.8 | Defensive FT% | 80.4 |
| 31.3 | Defensive Rebounds Per Game | 29.8 |
| 3-2 | Last 5 W-L | 2-3 |
| 101.7 | Team Pace | 95.2 |
Key Stats
New York Knicks
- The Knicks are 6-3 ATS in their last nine May games.
- In its last nine Sunday home games, New York is just 3-6 against the spread.
Indiana Pacers
- The Pacers have covered the spread five times in their last 10 games.
Injury Report
New York Knicks
- Julius Randle – OFS (Shoulder)
- Bojan Bogdanovic – OFS (Foot)
- Mitchell Robinson – OFS (Ankle)
- OG Anunoby – GTD (Hamstring)
- Josh Hart – GTD (Abdominal)
Indiana Pacers
- Bennedict Mathurin — OUT (Shoulder)
Game Predictions
The Spread
Despite losing by a double-digit margin in Game 6, the oddsmakers have installed the Knicks as a 2.5-point favorite heading into Game 7 (per BleacherNation.com).
The Knicks have been favored to win by 2.5 points or more 38 times this season. They are 23-14-1 ATS in those contests. Meanwhile, Indiana has been an underdog of 2.5 points or more 33 times this season. In those contests its against-the-spread record is 19-12-2.
Given the small spread, I like the Knicks’ chances of covering here.
Over/Under
The projected over/under total for this matchup opened at 210 points, but the line has recently moved to 207 points (per Pre-Game.com). Here are a few trends that suggest why going with the “OVER” is the smart choice.
- The total has gone OVER 12 times in the Knicks’ last 17 contests.
- In New York’s last 14 matchups as the favorite, the OVER total is 11-3.
- The OVER total has prevailed 12 times in the Pacers’ last 17 outings.
- In their last 16 matchups against Eastern Conference opponents, the OVER total cashed in 11 times.
Final Picks
New York Knicks -3 (-112) and Over 207.5 (-110)
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