Oregon State vs. San Jose State: Week 11 Betting Preview and Predictions

oregon state

The Oregon State Beavers (4-4) will face the San Jose State Spartans (5-3) in a pivotal matchup at Reser Stadium on Saturday, November 9, 2024. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET, and the game will air on The CW. Both teams are looking to bounce back from tough losses as they push toward bowl eligibility.

Odds and Betting Overview

BetMGM Sportsbook Odds

  • Moneyline: Oregon State -147 | San Jose State +122
  • Spread: Oregon State -3 (-105) | San Jose State +3 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 55.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Moneyline Pick: Oregon State -147

Oct 26, 2024; Berkeley, California, USA; Oregon State Beavers quarterback Ben Gulbranson (17) throws a pass against the California Golden Bears during the fourth quarter at California Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images

Oregon State has shown resilience this season, with a 3-1 record as a moneyline favorite. Historically, the Beavers perform well in tight contests, particularly when playing at home. San Jose State, while impressive, has struggled as an underdog, holding a 1-3 record in such scenarios this season.

Against the Spread: Oregon State -3

The Beavers have covered the spread twice this season, although their performance as a 3-point favorite has been mixed (1-2). The Spartans, however, have a strong ATS record at 4-4 and are 2-1 as underdogs of 3 points or more, signaling their ability to compete in closely matched games.

Oregon State’s Recent Form

The Beavers are coming off a humbling 44-7 loss to California. Quarterback Ben Gulbranson struggled against the Golden Bears’ defense, managing only 131 yards and one touchdown. The offense lacked rhythm, with running back Anthony Hankerson averaging just 3.1 yards per carry. Despite these setbacks, wide receiver Trent Walker showed promise, recording 58 yards and a touchdown.

Oregon State’s defense will need to tighten up after surrendering 44 points, but their home-field advantage and history of bouncing back after losses make them a formidable opponent.

San Jose State: A Team on the Rise

San Jose State’s loss to Fresno State (33-10) was a hiccup in what has otherwise been a stellar season. The Spartans boast a 5-3 record and are on track to secure bowl eligibility for the third consecutive year—a program first.

Wide receiver Nick Nash has been the centerpiece of their offense, leading the nation with 80 receptions and 12 touchdowns. His record-breaking season has propelled the Spartans to the top of the Mountain West in passing offense, averaging 324.5 yards per game.

Defensively, the Spartans have excelled, forcing 19 turnovers—third-best in the nation. However, their inconsistency, particularly in turnover-free games, raises concerns about their ability to sustain this level of performance.

Key Stats

  • Nick Nash: 80 receptions, 12 TDs (1st in FBS)
  • SJSU Turnovers Forced: 19 (3rd in FBS)
  • Oregon State Turnover Margin: +2

What’s at Stake

Both teams are eyeing postseason play, making this matchup crucial. Oregon State needs a win to maintain its bowl eligibility hopes, while San Jose State aims to secure its fourth bowl game in five years.

The Spartans’ 14-2 record in their last 16 home games reflects their dominance at CEFCU Stadium, but their road performance will be tested against the Beavers.

Prediction: Oregon State 29, San Jose State 26

The Beavers have a slight edge at home, but this matchup is expected to be a nail-biter.

Final Thoughts

This matchup showcases an intriguing clash of strengths between Oregon State’s home-field resilience and San Jose State’s high-octane passing attack. With both teams eager to rebound from recent losses and bowl eligibility on the line, expect a thrilling, down-to-the-wire battle.

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