OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS. MILWAUKEE BUCKS EXPERT PICK – MARCH 24, 2024 — Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome back to our NBA coverage here at Total Apex Sports. One of the games on tap from today’s slate features the Oklahoma City Thunder (49-20 SU, 40-28-1 ATS) traveling on the road to take on the Milwaukee Bucks (45-25 SU, 31-39 ATS).
Here is a look at which team has the edge from a betting perspective heading into this crucial matchup and why.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds
| Team | Spread | Total | MoneyLine |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | +3
-110 |
O 231.5
-108 |
+120 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | -3
-110 |
U 231.5
-112 |
-142 |
| **Odds Courtesy of DraftKings and Subject to Change** | |||
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Milwaukee Bucks Game Details
- Fixture: Oklahoma City Thunder @ Milwaukee Bucks
- Date and Time: March 24, 2024 @ 7:00 PM EST
- Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
- TV: NBA TV, BSWI, and BSOK
Apex Tale of the Tape
|
OKC Thunder |
vs. |
Milwaukee Bucks |
| 49-20 | Record | 45-25 |
| 120.7 | Points Per Game | 120.6 |
| 50.0 | FG% | 49.1 |
| 39.2 | 3PT% | 37.9 |
| 41.8 | Rebounds Per Game | 43.8 |
| 112.9 | Points Allowed Per Game | 117.2 |
| 45.5 | Defensive FG% | 47.3 |
| 36.4 | Defensive 3PT% | 36.1 |
| 78.6 | Defensive FT% | 80.3 |
| 32.8 | Defensive Rebounds Per Game | 33.6 |
| 4-1 | Last 5 W-L | 3-2 |
| 99.8 | Team Pace |
100.3 |
Key Stats
OKC Thunder
The Oklahoma City Thunder have the best record out west. They are percentage points ahead of the Denver Nuggets. Additionally, just five games separate the top four teams in what is proving to be a competitive playoff race, as expected.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – who does not get a ton of respect as an MVP-caliber player — leads OKC in points (30.8), assists (6.4), and steals (2.1). From a defensive standpoint, rookie Chet Holmgren leads the team in rebounding (8.0) and blocks (2.4)
Milwaukee Bucks
The Bucks trail the top-seeded Boston Celtics by 11.5 games, which means they can finish no better than the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference. Not only that, but they are also just two games ahead of the Cleveland Cavaliers and 3.5 games ahead of the fourth-place New York Knicks. It will be interesting to see if they can hold on to the No. 2 spot down the stretch.
Like SGA, Giannis Antetokounmpo sets the tone for the offense. He leads the team in points (30.7), rebounds (11.2), and steals (1.2). Damian Lillard – the second-leading scorer — runs the offense and averages 7.1 assists per contest. Brook Lopez averages a respectable 12.4 PPG, and he provides a solid defensive presence with 2.5 blocks per game.
Injury Report
Oklahoma City Thunder (no injuries to report)
Milwaukee Bucks
- Giannis Antetokounmpo — Probable (Hamstring)
- Khris Middleton — Probable (Back)
Game Predictions
The Bucks opened as a 2.5-point favorite. However, the line has climbed to three points for the home team (per OddShark.com). The Bucks are 21-29-1 against the spread when they are favored to win by 2.5 points or more. Additionally, the Thunder are an impressive 7-2-1 against the spread when they are an underdog by at least 2.5 points. Given these trends, going with OKC to cover a small spread is the best play here.
The over/under for this contest opened at 231 points. The line has moved to 231.5 points (per Pre-Game.com). The UNDER total has prevailed nine times in the Thunder’s last 10 road matchups against the Bucks. Furthermore, the UNDER is 10-5 in Milwaukee’s last 15 contests against Western Conference teams. Simply put, go with the “under” in this matchup.
James Tillman’s Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Milwaukee Bucks Final Picks
Spread: OKC Thunder +3 (-110) OddShark
Over/Under: UNDER 231.5 points (-112) DraftKings
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