OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS. MILWAUKEE BUCKS PLAYER PROP BETS — MARCH 24, 2024 – Happy Sunday, basketball fans. Welcome back to our NBA coverage here at Total Apex Sports. One of the marquee matchups from today’s slate of games features the OKC Thunder going on the road to take on the Milwaukee Bucks.
This OKC Thunder-Milwaukee Bucks matchup features a pair of teams that were victorious in their last outings. The Thunder defeated the Toronto Raptors 120-103. Meanwhile, in its recent outing, Milwaukee defeated the Brooklyn Nets by a 115-108 margin. Which players are most likely to step up and lead their respective teams to victory?
Here is a look at my player prop bets for this contest.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Milwaukee Bucks Preview
The key player to watch for the road team is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. He currently has -110 odds of scoring more than 30.5 points and -120 odds of finishing with less than 30.5 points.
Let’s see how his numbers stack up against the projected points total for this matchup.
- In nine career games against the Bucks, he averages 21.4 points per game.
- On the season, SGA is averaging 30.8 points per outing across 68 appearances.
- In 34 road contests, he is averaging 30.3 PPG.
- Gilgeous-Alexander has played against Eastern Conference teams 23 times this season. In those contests, he is averaging 32.1 points per outing.
- In seven matchups against Central Division opponents, he averages 29.6 points per game.
- Over his last 10 outings, SGA has averaged 28.7 points per contest, exceeding the points total for this matchup five times during that stretch.
Going with the “under” for Gilgeous-Alexander looks like the better option based on the above trends.
Prediction: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander UNDER 30.5 points against the Milwaukee Bucks
Fresh off this third consecutive 30-point performance, the key player to watch for the home team is Damian Lillard. He currently has -105 odds of scoring more than 24.5 points and -125 odds of finishing with less than 24.5 points.
Lillard has had a few memorable moments against OKC.
Do his season numbers compare favorably against the projected points total for this contest? Let’s take a closer look at the tale of the tape.
- In 37 career games against the Thunder, Lillard averages 23.8 points per contest.
- On the season, he is averaging 24.6 points per outing across 65 outings.
- In 33 home contests, Lillard is averaging 25.8 PPG.
- Lillard has played against Western Conference teams 22 times this season. In those contests, he is averaging 26.1 points per outing.
- In six matchups against Northwest Division opponents, Lillard is averaging 20.8 points per game.
- Over his last 10 outings, Lillard is averaging 26 points per outing, exceeding the points total for this matchup six times during that stretch.
Prediction: Damian Lillard OVER 24.5 points
James Tillman’s Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Milwaukee Bucks Player Prop Picks
- Player Prop Bet #1: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC Thunder) UNDER 30.5 points
- Player Prop Bet #2: Damian Lillard (Milwaukee Bucks) OVER 24.5 points
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