Houston Rockets @ Oklahoma City Thunder Preview, Prediction, & Odds | March 3rd, 2025

Oklahoma City Thunder Point Guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

The Oklahoma City Thunder are hosting the Houston Rockets in tonight‘s Western Conference matchup. The Thunder are coming off a comfortable win over the San Antonio Spurs 146-132. As for Houston, they are coming off a double-digit home loss to the Sacramento Kings 113-103. With this game having two of the Western Conference‘s best teams, this should be a fantastic game. Let’s dive straight into it and cook up another winning slip.

Houston Rockets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

Team Spread Total Money Line
Houston Rockets +10 (-108) Over 228.5 (-108) +360
Oklahoma City Thunder -10 (-112) Under 228.5 (-112) -470
**Odds Subject to Change**

Houston Rockets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Match Details

  • Fixture: Houston Rockets @ Oklahoma City Thunder 
  • Date and Time: March 3rd, 2025 @ 8 PM EST

Key Stats

Houston Rockets

The Houston Rockets are coming off a double-digit loss at home to the Sacramento Kings 113-103. Alperen Sengun had an excellent performance with 30 points, 10 rebounds, and five assists while shooting 10/16 from the floor. Jalen Green had a nice scoring night despite his inefficiencies. Green finished with 24 points while shooting 9/20 from the floor, including 4/10 from the three-point line. Fred VanVleet was dreadful in his return. he finished the game with three points, five rebounds, five assists, and three steals while shooting one for eight from three, including 1/7 from distance.

Defensively, the Houston Rockets are one of the best teams in the NBA. For the season, they are ranked 5th in points allowed per game, 5th in opponent field goal percentage, 5th in opponent three-point percentage, 14th in blocks per game, 9th in steals per game, 1st in rebounds per game, and 4th in defensive rating. In regards to injuries, Houston has a plethora of them. Fred Vanvleet is listed as out with an ankle injury. Meanwhile, Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson, Dillon Brooks, Tari Eason, and Steven Adams are questionable for this game. The Rockets have a record over their last 10 games of 5-5, including 2-8-0 against the spread.

Oklahoma City Thunder

The Oklahoma City Thunder are coming off a comfortable win at home over the San Antonio Spurs, 146-132. Jalen Williams was fantastic, with 41 points, six rebounds, and seven assists. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had an average SGA game. He finished the game with 31 points and eight assists while being a +15 on the floor. Cason Wallace was the real difference maker, though, as he finished with 19 points and four assists while shooting 7/14 from the floor and was a team-high +21 when he was on the floor. Oklahoma City has a record of 49-11 this season and is comfortably in first place in the Western Conference.

The Thunder are the best defensive team in the NBA. For the season, they rank 2nd in points allowed per game, 1st in opponent field goal percentage, 1st in opponent three-point percentage, 5th in blocks per game, 1st in steals per game, 13th in rebounds per game, and 1st in defensive writing. Regarding their injuries, Isaiah Joe has been ruled out for this game with a back injury that kept him out of their last game. Over their last 10 games, the Thunder have a record of eight and two, including 54 and one against the spread.

Prediction

The Oklahoma City Thunder will defend home court, defeat the Houston Rockets, and cover the massive 10-point spread in this game. The Houston Rockets are too injury-riddled to keep this game close. Despite this being two defensive teams, I expect Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to dominate this game. Even though they are on the second night of a back-to-back, OKC is one of the best home teams, with a record of 26 and five. The Oklahoma City Thunder will cruise to a double-digit win in this game over the Houston Rockets and be the first team to 50 wins this season.

Final Pick

Oklahoma City Thunder -10 (-112)

 

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