Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs Best Bets – April 2nd, 2025

The Western Conference’s third-seed Denver Nuggets host the 13th-seed San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday at 8:00 p.m. in Ball Arena. The Nuggets’ injury report is as complete as Nikola Jokic’s stat sheet last night (61-point triple-double) after a double OT loss by a single point to the Minnesota Timberwolves. Here’s the list of game-time decisions for the Nuggets: Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Jokic, and Jamal Murray. The Spurs roll on without Charles Bassey, Victor Wembanymama, De’Aaron Fox, and Riley Minix. Let’s discuss Best Bets and if the Nuggets can cover this spread after a little rest from the OT thriller.

Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs Odds

Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Match Details

• Fixture: Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs 
• Date and Time: April 2nd, 2025 9:10 pm (eastern) 
• Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO 

Key Stats

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets’ rest is the number one factor in Best Bets today. They played the Timberwolves in Denver yesterday, and the starters played copious minutes. The Nugs should bubble-wrap some starters to ensure a safe roster heading into the playoffs, but it is hard to predict who will be in and out. The line opened at 8.5 and has moved to 9.5. This movement suggests Denver will roll out most of their starters, most notably Jokic.

Looking at the ATS, the Nuggets perform incredibly on little sleep. For the season, they are 10-5 ATS on no rest, and you can pair this with a 12.0 margin of victory over that span. The O/U also falls into this percentile range: they hit the over on 66.7% of their games with no rest.

San Antonio Spurs

The only storyline motivating the Spurs is Stephon Castle cementing his candidacy as Rookie of the Year. Trends suggest the Spurs will struggle to compete with a team of high postseason aspirations. Diving into their ATS numbers, the Spurs cover only 43.1% when away, 41.7% with one day off, and 40.7% as a road underdog.

Looking at the O/U, the Spurs’ rest will help make a case for an over. They hit the over 62.5% with a rest advantage and 53.5% after a loss. The spread will be hard to maintain, but their rested legs help lean towards the over.

Prediction

Our Model projects this game as Nuggets 122, Spurs 112 based on trends over the last three games. These numbers support our Nuggets bet, covering the spread at -9.5 and the game over 232 for today’s Best Bets. Let’s hope the Nuggets sleep better in their own beds and don’t have a double overtime hangover.

Best Bets

Nuggets – 9.5 (-105) and Over 232.5 (-110)

2025 Official Plays for Total Apex Sports Bets from Chris Cash: 7 – 6 (+1.2 units).

Nuggets – 9.5 for 1.05 Units

Over 232.5 for 1.10 Units