It’s almost hard to believe another NFL parlay hit, making it now four consecutive weeks of cashing our parlay. Now it is a matter of whether we can continue to stay white hot and make it five straight. Remember, we also play these picks on a money line parlay and straight up. Last week’s sweep brings our record to 24-15 ATS. However, we did miss three of our four bonus lean recommendations. We tend to avoid public plays, which are traditionally the betting favorites.
In addition, we play these weekly selections in a money-line parlay and straight up because, in general, parlays are not a profitable betting strategy. Our weekly parlay targets games seeing respected money and those where Vegas books have a heavy liability—in other words, the betting outcome that Vegas books need to profit on the day. The betting lines discussed are the consensus at Vegas Insider and are subject to change.
Please continue to check this article link or via social media to view the bonus leans section, which will be updated with additional sharp plays and the Vegas Sportsbook needs. With that said, here we go with Week 14: follow or fade.
Parlay Leg #1: Arizona Cardinals -2.5
Play number one for this week’s parlay is the Arizona Cardinals -2.5 over the Seattle Seahawks. Arizona is in a revenge spot, having lost to Seattle 16-6 nine days ago. In addition, we spotted sharp money coming in on the Cardinals as Seattle is seeing 72% of the tickets and 82% of the money bets, and yet the line pushed out from -1 to -2.5. Arizona is 7-4 ATS on the season, 4-1 ATS in their last five, and 6-4 ATS in their last ten at home. The -2.5 is a favorite point spread, and we will gladly take it. Arizona is -2.5 in the opening leg of the week 14 parlay.
Parlay Leg #2: Buffalo Bills/Los Angeles Rams over 48 (Alternate Total)
Play number two is the Buffalo Bills-Los Angeles Rams over 48. The total opened up at 48 and now sits at 49.5. We love to play on the angle of an over with a home underdog, and that is exactly what we have in this game. Buffalo’s offense is ranked 1oth overall, averaging just under 30 points per game.
The Rams’ passing volume has been elevated at home and Los Angeles is expected to be in a negative game script, which works to our advantage. The over is 6-4 in the Bill’s last ten overall and 8-2 in their last ten as a favorite. We will buy the total back down to get off the 49 and take the Bills-Rams over 48 in the middle leg of our week 14 parlay.
Parlay Leg #3: Los Angeles Chargers +4
The anchor parlay leg is the Los Angeles Chargers +4 versus the Kansas City Chiefs. This is another revenge angle we are playing on, as Los Angeles lost the first meeting to the Chiefs, 16-6. As you know, we always look to see where the respected money is on the games but Vegas has not seen any as of Wednesday. The Chargers are a stellar 8-3-1 ATS this season and 5-4-1 ATS in their last ten versus the Chiefs. Kansas City has not covered their last two games and sits just 4-7-1 ATS this season. We will take the Chargers in prime time to close out the week 14 parlay.
Total Parlay Odds: ATS +581 / ML +743
*Odds Via FanDuel Sportsbook and Subject to Change*
Bonus Leans: TBD Sunday morning
