Week 6 of the NFL football season is upon us and let’s get to this week’s three-team parlay. In addition, play these picks on a money line parlay and bet them straight up. Last week again we went 1-2 ATS and lost two of the picks at the buzzer in Buffalo and Pittsburgh. That brings our total to 7-8 ATS year to date, as we look to get back over the .500 mark in Week 6.
Our NFL Football Parlays target sharps plays. Sharp plays are betting lines indicating reverse line movements or a line hold. We also identify games where the Vegas books have the most liability on a certain team. In other words, the betting outcome that Vegas books need to profit on the day. Remember that the probability of cashing a three-team parlay is 6/1, so a realistic goal is for us to hit on two or three for the season.
The betting lines discussed are the consensus posted at Vegas Insider and are subject to change. To be a profitable sports bettor, the odds are in your favor to stay away from public plays, usually the betting favorite.
Parlay Leg #1: Washington Commanders +7.5 (Alternate Spread)
Washington comes 4-1 ATS this season and playing lights out under rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels. The Commanders also feature one of the best offensive lines in football and look to keep it rolling at Baltimore this week. The sharps are on Washington in Week 6 as respected money has moved the opening line of 8 and moved it to its current 6.5. Washington is 6-4 ATS in their last ten games for a profitable +1.45 units. We discussed in our wagering series about getting on the right number so we buy back the Commanders line to 7 or an even better option at 7.5.
Parlay Leg #2: Tennessee Titans +1.5 (Alternate Spread)
The middle leg of the parlay features the Tennessee Titans +1.5 in a divisional battle with the Colts. The Colts are getting over 90% of spread and money line wagers and yet the line is down half a point -1. We know Tennessee is not great ATS this season at 1-3-1 however, they come off a 31-12 SU win versus the Dolphins last week, are 3-2 ATS the last five, and 6-4 ATS last 10 versus Indianapolis.
Parlay Leg #3: New York Giants +3.5
In the anchor leg of our parlay, we go to the New York Football Giants +3.5 versus the Cincinnati Bengals. The Giants are the third reverse-line movement we are targeting in Week 6. The Bengals are seeing 86% of the spread and 93% of the money bets and yet the line has dropped a full point down to 4.5. The Giants are 3-2 ATS this season and 3-0 ATS in their last three games for +2.73 units. Give us the Giants at home Sunday Night in the final leg of our Week 6 NFL Parlay.
Total Parlay Odds: Via FanDuel Sportsbook
ATS Parlay Odds: +1490 Money Line Parlay Odds: +481
*Odds subject to change*
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