New Mexico at #22 Utah State Preview, Predictions, and Odds March 9, 2024

New Mexico Lobos vs Clemson

The New Mexico Lobos (22-8, 10-7 MW) take the trip up to Logan, Utah to take on the 22nd-ranked Utah State Aggies (25-5, 13-4 MW) to close out the Mountain West regular season. Utah State is looking to clinch their first outright Mountain West title in program history and solidify their NCAA tournament seeding. New Mexico on the other hand is fighting for their tournament lives and is projected as one of the last teams in the field of 68 per Joe Lunardi’s Bracketology.

These teams last met on January 16 at New Mexico where the Lobos won a shootout 99-86.

Will New Mexico essentially clinch an at-large tourney berth with a win or will Utah State cap off arguably their greatest regular season in program history with an outright Mountain West title?

New Mexico at Utah State Betting Odds

Embed from Getty Images

 

Team

Spread

Total

MoneyLine

New Mexico

+3

-108

O 161.5

-112

136

Utah State

-3

-112

U 161.5

-108

-162

**Odds Courtesy of DraftKings**

New Mexico at Utah State Game Details

  • Fixture: New Mexico at Utah State
  • Date and Time: March 9, 2024 @ 8:30 pm EST
  • Location: Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan, UT

 

Apex Tale of the Tape

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New Mexico

vs.

Utah State

22-8

Record

25-5

82.2

Points Per Game

79.6

45.8%

FG%

49.7%

33.7%

3PT%

33.7%

39.3

Rebounds Per Game

36.4

71.8

Points Allowed Per Game

70.4

48.8%

Defensive FG%

49.1%

31.8%

Defensive 3PT%

28.3%

73.3%

Defensive FT%

72.5%

24.8

Defensive Rebounds Per Game

25.0

2-3

Last 5 W-L

4-1

Key Stats

Embed from Getty Images

New Mexico Lobos

New Mexico has a 3 headed monster at the guard position. Jamal Mashburn Jr, Jaelen House, and Donovan Dent all can take over the game. New Mexico has been hot and cold throughout conference play and is going to need their bigs to step up tonight. New Mexico is 5-5 in their last 10 games.

Utah State Aggies

Unlike New Mexico, the Utah State Aggies have been a very efficient team all year, especially at home. They limit turnovers and have shot about 50% from the field on the season. They are led by junior forward Great Osobor, who is averaging 17.5 points a game and 8.9 rebounds. Utah State is gunning for their 5 straight win.

Game Prediction

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This has the potential to be a late-night Mountain West nail-biter. New Mexico is going to come out with their hair on fire. Adding a quad 1 road win to their resume would be huge for their tournament hopes. Meanwhile, Utah State is trying to cap off an incredible season with an outright Mountain West title. In March you have to have great guard play and in a big spot like this, New Mexico has the guys to go on the road and get it done. While Utah State has been money at home this year, I like New Mexico covering on the road and the over hitting. This will be a run-and-gun type of game just as it was in January, which favors the Lobos.

The Pick

New Mexico +3 and over 161.5

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