Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. #1 Texas Longhorns Prediction and Odds | College Football Week 5

texas longhorns

The number-one ranked Texas Longhorns (4-0, 0-0 SEC) host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-3, 0-1) this Saturday afternoon in an SEC matchup. Texas is coming off a 51-3 blowout home win against the UL Monroe Warhawks in Week 4. Quarterback Arch Manning completed 15-of-29 passes for 258 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions. Running back Jaydon Blue carried the ball 25 times for 124 yards and had three touchdowns.

The Bulldogs are coming off a home loss to the Florida Gators by a score of 45-28. Running back Johnnie Daniels carried the ball 14 times for 77 yards and a touchdown. Quarterback Blake Shapen completed 13-of-21 passes for 140 yards and one touchdown.

Can the Bulldogs turn their season around, or will the Longhorns continue to win behind Arch Manning at quarterback?

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns Odds

Team Spread Total Money Line
Mississippi State Bulldogs +38.5

-108

Over 62.5

-108

N/A
Texas Longhorns -38.5

-112

Under 62.5

-112

N/A
**Odds Subject to Change**

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns Match Details

  • Fixture: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas Longhorns
  • Date and Time: Saturday, September 28th, 2024 at 4:15 PM ET
  • Location: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas

Key Stats

Mississippi State Bulldogs

The Bulldogs enter 1-3, averaging 31.00 points per game this season. Running back Johnnie Daniels leads the team in rushing, averaging 52.67 yards per game. Quarterback Michael Van Buren Jr., the newly named starter, has thrown for 100 yards this season and has completed 53.80% of his passes.

Wide receiver Kevin Coleman Jr. is averaging 95.67 receiving yards per game and has scored three touchdowns. Jordan Mosley is averaging 67.33 receiving yards per game. Defensively, Mississippi State has one interception and three sacks. They are allowing 30.75 points per game.

Texas Longhorns

The Texas Longhorns enter the game 4-0, averaging 47.50 points per game this season. Jerrick Gibson leads the team in rushing, averaging 70.0 yards per game with three touchdowns. Quarterback Arch Manning is averaging 192.0 passing yards per game and is completing 61.70% of his passes. To start the year, he has thrown seven touchdowns and two interceptions.

Wide receiver Isaiah Bond averages 96.67 receiving yards per game, while Ryan Wingo averages 79.67 receiving yards per game. From a defensive standpoint, Texas has seven interceptions and seven sacks. They are allowing 5.50 points per game.

Prediction

The talent gap between these two teams is enormous, so Texas has an advantage of almost 40 points. However, this is still a game between two SEC teams, and it is hard to trust the Longhorns to win by that much in a game where they could take their foot off the gas in the second half.

That said, Mississippi State has been outscored in the first half of its games 90-55, while Texas has dominated all its opponents in the first half. Because of this and because this will be Texas’s first-ever SEC game, backing the Longhorns to cover in the first half will be our best bet.

Final Pick

Texas Longhorns -24.5 1st Half (+100)

 

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