MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS. DENVER NUGGETS PREVIEW — MARCH 29, 2024 — Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome back to our NBA coverage here at Total Apex Sports. One of the games on tap from tonight’s slate features the Minnesota Timberwolves (50-22 SU, 37-34-1 ATS) taking on the Denver Nuggets (51-22 SU, 33-38-2 ATS).
Here is a look at which team has the edge from a betting perspective heading into this matchup and why.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Odds
| Team | Spread | Total | MoneyLine |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | +6.5
-110 |
O 212
-110 |
+220 |
| Denver Nuggets | -6.5
-110 |
U 2122
-110 |
-270 |
| **Odds Courtesy of DraftKings and Subject to Change** | |||
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets Game Details
- Fixture: Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
- Date and Time: March 29, 2024 @ 9:00 PM EST
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
- TV: ALT and BSN
Apex Tale of the Tape
|
Minnesota Timberwolves |
vs. |
Denver Nuggets |
| 50-22 | Record | 51-22 |
| 113.1 | Points Per Game | 114.6 |
| 44.7 | FG% | 49.5 |
| 35.0 | 3PT% | 37.0 |
| 44.1 | Rebounds Per Game | 44.4 |
| 106.3 | Points Allowed Per Game | 109.9 |
| 44.7 | Defensive FG% | 46.4 |
| 35.0 | Defensive 3PT% | 35.9 |
| 78.6 | Defensive FT% | 77.6 |
| 31.0 | Defensive Rebounds Per Game | 31.3 |
| 4-1 | Last 5 W-L | 4-1 |
| 97.0 | Team Pace |
96.6 |
Key Stats/Trends
Minnesota Timberwolves
- The Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in their last seven contests.
- Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups against Denver.
- The Timberwolves are an impressive 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
- In its last five games against Western Conference teams, Minnesota is a perfect 5-0 against the spread.
- The OVER total has prevailed 11 times in the Timberwolves‘ last 15 Friday games.
Denver Nuggets
- Meanwhile, the defending champs are 2-4 ATS in their last six outings.
- Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last five matchups against Western Conference opponents.
- In their last six Friday contests, the Nuggets are 4-2 against the spread.
- The total has gone OVER 10 times in Denver’s last 14 games against Minnesota.
- In the Nuggets’ last six home games, the OVER total prevailed five times.
Injury Report
Minnesota Timberwolves
- Rudy Gobert — Questionable (Ribs)
- Karl Anthony-Towns — OUT Indefinitely (Knee)
- Jaylen Clark — OUT Indefinitely (Achilles)
Denver Nuggets
- Jamal Murray — Questionable (Ankle)
- Vlatko Cancar — OUT Indefinitely (Knee)
- Zeke Nnaji — Questionable (Back)
Game Predictions
The Nuggets opened as a six-point favorite. At the time of this writing, the line has climbed up to 6.5 points for the road team (per OddShark.com).
Denver is 16-17-1 against the spread when they are favored to win by 6.5 or more points. Conversely, the Timberwolves are 2-0 ATS when they have been the underdog by 6.5 points or more. That said, going with the road team to cover is the way to go here.
The projected over/under total for this matchup opened at 214 points. The line has recently dipped to 212 points (per Pre-Game.com).
These two ball clubs are averaging 227.7 points per game this season. This is 15.7 points higher than the projected 212 points total. Additionally, opponents of both teams have averaged 216.2 points per contest, which is 4.2 points more than the estimated points total for this matchup. Given these trends, going with the “over” is the smart option in this scenario.
James Tillman’s Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets Final Picks
- The Spread: Minnesota Timberwolves (+6.5/-110) OddShark
- Over/Under: OVER 212 points (DraftKings)
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