MILWAUKEE BUCKS VS. NEW ORLEANS PELICANS PREVIEW PREDICTIONS AND ODDS — MARCH 28, 2024 — Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome back to our NBA coverage here at Total Apex Sports. One of the games on tap from tonight’s slate features the Milwaukee Bucks (46-26 SU, 32-40 ATS) taking on the New Orleans Pelicans (44-28 SU, 39-31-2 ATS).
Here is a look at which team has the edge from a betting perspective heading into this matchup and why.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. New Orleans Pelicans Betting Odds
| Team | Spread | Total | MoneyLine |
| Milwaukee Bucks | -2
-110 |
O 223
-115 |
-130 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | +2
-110 |
U 223
-105 |
+110 |
| **Odds Courtesy of DraftKings and Subject to Change** | |||
Milwaukee Bucks vs. New Orleans Pelicans Game Details
- Fixture: Milwaukee Bucks @ New Orleans Pelicans
- Date and Time: March 28, 2024 @ 8:00 PM EST
- Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, Louisiana
- TV: NBA TV
Apex Tale of the Tape
|
Milwaukee Bucks |
vs. |
New Orleans Pelicans |
| 46-26 | Record | 44-28 |
| 120.6 | Points Per Game | 115.7 |
| 49.0 | FG% | 48.9 |
| 37.7 | 3PT% | 38.0 |
| 44.2 | Rebounds Per Game | 44.4 |
| 117.0 | Points Allowed Per Game | 110.5 |
| 47.0 | Defensive FG% | 46.0 |
| 35.9 | Defensive 3PT% | 34.5 |
| 80.5 | Defensive FT% | 78.3 |
| 33.8 | Defensive Rebounds Per Game | 32.0 |
| 3-2 | Last 5 W-L | 3-2 |
| 100.3 | Team Pace |
98.1 |
Key Stats/Trends
Milwaukee Bucks:
- The Bucks are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 outings.
- Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last five matchups against New Orleans.
- In their last six March contests, the Bucks are 4-2 against the spread.
- The total has gone OVER four times in the Bucks’ last five games.
- The OVER total has prevailed seven times in Milwaukee’s last eight road games against the Pelicans.
- In the Bucks’ last six matchups against Western Conference opponents, the OVER total is 4-2.
New Orleans Pelicans:
- Meanwhile, the Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against Central Division teams.
- In its last five Thursday home games, New Orleans is 4-1 against the spread.
- The OVER total has prevailed in each of the Pelicans’ last seven matchups against Milwaukee.
- In New Orleans’ last eight home games against the Bucks, the OVER total cashed in seven times.
Injury Report
Milwaukee Bucks
- Khris Middleton — Probable (Ankle)
- Marjon Beauchamp — Questionable (Back)
- Patrick Beverley — OUT (Wrist)
New Orleans Pelicans
- Brandon Ingram — OUT Indefinitely (Knee)
- Jose Alvarado — Questionable (Hip)
- Dyson Daniels — OUT Indefinitely (Knee)
Game Predictions
The Bucks opened as a two-point favorite. At the time of this writing, the line has climbed up to 2.5 points for the road team (per OddShark.com). Milwaukee is 25-31-1 against the spread when they are the favorite to win by at least two points. Conversely, the Pelicans are 12-7-1 against the spread when they have been the underdog by two or more points. That said, going with the home team to cover is the way to go here.
The projected over/under total for this matchup opened at 228.5 points. The line has recently dipped to 223 points (per Pre-Game.com). These two teams are averaging 236.3 points per game this season. This is 13.3 points higher than the projected 223 points total. Additionally, Opponents of both teams have averaged 227.5 points per contest, which is 4.5 points more than the estimated points total for this matchup. Given these trends, going with the “over” is the smart option in this scenario.
James Tillman’s Milwaukee Bucks vs. New Orleans Pelicans Final Picks
- The Spread: New Orleans Pelicans (+2.5/-110) OddShark
- Over/Under: OVER 223 points (DraftKings)
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