NL East rivals will collide again on Friday. The New York Mets are back in South Florida to take on the Miami Marlins. This season’s series is tied 3-3 although New York has won three of the past four meetings.
Lefty Sean Manaea (6-3, 3.46 ERA) will get things started for the visitors tonight. His counterpart will be Edward Cabrera (1-3, 8.26 ERA), a right-handed pitcher.
One of these teams made the playoffs last year. The other is trying to make their October return in 2024. Will the Marlins make the Mets’ journey more difficult?
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Team |
Spread |
Total |
MoneyLine |
| New York Mets | -1.5 (+130) | Over 8.0 (-115) | -135 |
| Miami Marlins | +1.5 (-155) | Under 8.0 (-105) | +114 |
**Odds Subject to Change** |
|||
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Match Details
- Fixture: New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
- Date and Time: Friday, July 19, 2024 at 7:10 p.m. EST
- Location: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
Apex Tale of the Tape
| New York Mets | vs. | Miami Marlins |
| 49-46 | Record | 33-63 |
| 4.89 | Runs/G | 3.50 |
| .250 | BA | .234 |
| .322 | OBP | .284 |
| .420 | SLG | .354 |
| .742 | OPS | .638 |
| 121 | HR | 78 |
| 69 | SB | 52 |
| 4.23 | ERA | 4.60 |
| 1.308 | WHIP | 1.365 |
| 25 | Saves | 16 |
| .982 | Fielding % | .981 |
Key Stats
New York Mets
- The Mets went 7-2 in their nine games before the All-Star break
- Manaea has a 2.44 road ERA and that includes holding the Marlins to two runs in May
- Sean Manaea has held six straight foes to three or fewer runs
- New York’s bullpen is 20th in ERA, 20th in FIP, and 22nd in WAR
- The Mets have the fifth-most homers in the majors
- New York’s lineup is also top-10 in runs per game, batting average, OBP, slugging, OPS, strikeout rate, and stolen-base percentage
Miami Marlins
- Miami went 1-5 before the break
- The Marlins offense is last in home runs and walk rate
- Their position players are 29th in runs per game, OBP, slugging percentage, and fielding percentage
- Cabrera has allowed at least four runs in four of his past five starts, three of which came at home
- Marlins relievers are fifth in FIP and WAR this season
- Miami has the worst winning percentage in the NL
Prediction
The Mets have won the past two meetings against the Marlins. Considering how hot they are, and how cold the Marlins are, why not make it three? Manaea has pitched in loanDepot park already this season, holding Miami to two runs. The Marlins have the worst offense in the NL, so that can easily be replicated.
As for Cabrera, who keeps allowing 4+ runs per start, he shouldn’t stand a chance against the Mets. New York’s lineup is sixth in scoring and most of the damage has come since the calendar flipped to June. New York’s moneyline odds aren’t the greatest, but at -135 against an awful Marlins team, good enough for some value. Take it for a free win.
Final Pick
New York Mets ML (-135)
About the Author
André is a University of Connecticut graduate. He has been in sports journalism since December 2020. Follow Andre on Twitter at @TowerTalkSports. You can read and follow Andre’s betting picks at Winners and Whiners. He is also an NFL reporter for GiveMeSport.com.
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