Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Preview, Prediction, and Odds | May 11, 2024

Dallas Mavericks

Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome back to our NBA playoff coverage here at Total Apex Sports. We have moved on to the conference semifinal rounds, and the action is heating up. One of the games on tap from today’s slate features the Dallas Mavericks(55-35) hosting the Oklahoma City Thunder(62-26).

On one side of the matchup, we have an Oklahoma City Thunder squad that lost its first game of the postseason, 119-110, in Game 2. Facing adversity for the first time this postseason, will this team rise to the occasion or crumble under pressure?

On the other hand, following a 22-point blowout loss in the opener, the Mavericks responded with a much-needed win in Game 2 to even the series at one game apiece. In their first-round matchup against the Los Angeles Clippers, the Mavericks won Game 2 on the road and went on to win the series in six games.  Will that same trend unfold in this series as well?

Now that we have set the stage for this Game 3 matchup let’s dive into the betting trends for both teams. 

Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Odds

Can the Thunder grab a 2-1 lead in their second-round series against the Mavericks?

 

Team Spread Total MoneyLine
Oklahoma City Thunder +2

 

-108

O 218

 

-108

+120
Dallas Mavericks -2

 

-112

U 218

 

-112

-142
**Odds Subject to Change**

Mavericks vs. Thunder Game Details

Dallas Mavericks

  • Fixture: Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Date and Time: Saturday, May 11, 2024 @ 3:300 PM ET
  • Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Apex Tale of the Tape

Dallas Mavericks

vs.

Oklahoma City Thunder

5-3 Record 5-1
107.0 Points Per Game 108.0
45.6 FG% 47.4
35.1 3PT% 39.1
42.1 Rebounds Per Game 44.2
103.6 Points Allowed Per Game  95.3
44.1 Defensive FG%  40.8
 38.0 Defensive 3PT% 32.0
 80.0 Defensive FT% 78.8
31.8 Defensive Rebounds Per Game 32.2
3-2 Last 5 W-L 4-1
100.1 Team Pace 99.8

Key Stats

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

  • The Mavericks have successfully covered the spread five times in their last seven contests.
  • Dallas has an against-the-spread record of 9-2 in its last 11 games at home.
  • In their last six May games, the Mavericks have a 4-2 record against the spread.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns

  • The Thunder have covered the spread eight times across their last 10 contests.
  • OKC has an impressive against-the-spread mark of 9-3 in its last 12 matchups against the Mavericks.
  • However, the Thunder have covered the spread only twice in their last seven “road” matchups.
  • Additionally, OKC is just 2-6 against the spread in its last eight May games.

Injury Report

Dallas  Mavericks

  • Maxi Kleber — OUT (Shoulder)
  • Olivier-Maxence Prosper — OUT (Ankle)

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • No injuries to report

Game Predictions

The Spread

Following their nine-point win in Game 2, the oddsmakers have installed the Mavericks as a 2.5-point favorite heading into Game 3 (per BleacherNation.com).

The Mavericks have been favored to win by 2.5 points or more 43 times this season. They are 28-15 ATS in those contests. Meanwhile, OKC has been an underdog of 2.5 points or more 14 times this season. In those contests its against-the-spread record is 7-6-1.

Given the small spread, I like the road team’s chances of covering here. 

Over/Under 

The projected over/under total for this matchup opened at 219.5 points, but the line has recently moved to 218 points (per Pre-Game.com). Here are a few trends that suggest why going with the “OVER” is the smart choice.

  • The OVER total is a perfect 5-0 in the Thunder’s last five games. 
  • In the Mavericks’ last five outings, the OVER total has cashed in four times 
  • The total has gone OVER 80 percent of the time in Dallas’s last 10 matchups against OKC (8-2).
  • The OVER total has emerged victorious in each of the Mavericks’ last five contests.

Final Picks

Oklahoma City Thunder +2 (-108) and Over 222 (-108)

For More Great Content

To read more great articles from James Tillman III, please continue to read on our main site. Also, check out our fantasy content here! Check out all the great content Total Apex Sports has to offer. Check us out on X @TotalApexSports and our other sites: Total Apex Sports Bets and Total Apex Fantasy Sports.

 

Share this post

More stories from Total Apex Sports Bets

Stay Connected

Total Apex Gaming Sports Entertainment Fantasy Sports Sports Bets Herald is the only destination you'll need for all of your daily content.

Scroll to Top