Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Preview Predictions and Odds | April 14, 2024

Dallas Mavericks

One of the games on tap from today’s slate features the Oklahoma City Thunder(56-25)  squaring off against the Dallas Mavericks(50-31).

With Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving out of the lineup, the Mavericks fell to the Pistons 107-89 in their last outing on Friday night. Dallas will finish with the fifth-best record in the conference and will square off the Clippers in the opening round of the playoffs.  

The Thunder have produced six wins across their last ten decisions and enter this matchup amid a four-game winning streak. Additionally, they are tied with the Nuggets and Timberwolves for the top spot in the conference entering Sunday’s action

With their bench expected to see more playing time, will the Mavericks emerge victorious or will OKC roll to its 57th win of the season? 

Thunder vs. Mavericks Betting Odds

Oklahoma City Thunder

Team Spread Total MoneyLine
Oklahoma City Thunder -19

-110

O 224.5

-110

-1800
Dallas Mavericks +19

-110

U 224.5

-110

+1000
**Odds Subject to Change**

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Details

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Fixture: Dallas Mavericks @ Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Date and Time: Sunday, April 14, 2024 @ 3:30 PM ET
  • Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City,  OK
  • TV: BSOK and BSSW

Apex Tale of the Tape

Oklahoma City Thunder

vs.

Dallas Mavericks

56-25 Record 50-31
119.9 Points Per Game 118.2
49.8 FG% 48.3
38.8 3PT% 37.1
41.8 Rebounds Per Game 43.0
113.0 Points Allowed Per Game  115.4
45.6 Defensive FG%  47.4
 36.3 Defensive 3PT% 36.8
 78.9 Defensive FT% 76.9
44.7 Defensive Rebounds Per Game 44.9
4-1 Last 5 W-L 4-1
99.8 Team Pace 100.0

Key Stats

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks

  • The Mavericks are 16-3 ATS in their last 19 games.
  • However, Dallas is just 2-7 ATS in their last nine matchups against OKC.
  • The fifth-seeded Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against Northwest Division opponents.
  • In its last six April contests, Dallas is 5-1 against the spread.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Charlotte Hornets

  • The Thunder are 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games.
  • In its last 18 Sunday home contests, Oklahoma City is an impressive 13-5 against the spread

Injury Report

Dallas Mavericks

  • Kyrie Irving — OUT (Hamstring)
  • Luka Doncic — OUT (Ankle)
  • Daniel Gafford— OUT (Elbow)
  • PJ Washington — OUT (Ankle)
  • Max Kleber — OUT (Back)

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Josh Giddey — Probable (Hip)

Game Prediction

Oklahoma opened as a consensus 14-point favorite  That line has climbed up to a whopping 19.5 points for the home team (per Pre-Game.com). Dallas is 27-13 against the spread in 40 road games, while OKC is 26-14 against the spread in 40 home games this season. While the Thunder should win this game, it’s difficult to see them covering such a large spread, even with Doncic and Irving sitting this one out. Simply put, go with the Mavs to cover the 19.5-point spread here.

The projected over/under total for this matchup opened at 226 points (per OddShark). At the time of this writing, the line has moved to 224.5 points (via DraftKings). These two teams are averaging 238.1 points per game this season. This is 13.6 points higher than the projected points total.

Additionally, opponents of these two squads have averaged 228.4 points per contest, which is 3.9 points more than the point total for this matchup. That said, go with the “over” total here.

Final Pick

Dallas Mavericks -19.5 (-110) and Over 224.5 (-110)

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