One of the games on tap from tonight’s slate features the Denver Nuggets (53-23 SU, 34-40-2 ATS) taking on the Los Angeles Clippers (47-28 SU, 35-40 ATS).
The Clippers are coming off a tough five-point loss to the Sacramento Kings. Russell Westbrook led the effort in scoring with 20 points. Without Kawhi Leonard, Paul George proved vital with 18 points. Norman Powell started and finished with 17 points.
Meanwhile, the Nuggets won a second straight game by beating the San Antonio Spurs. Denver had Nikola Jokic lead the way with 42 points. Additionally, Aaron Gordan chipped in 23 points. Michael Porter Jr. had a slow night with 15 points.
Here is a look at which team has the edge from a betting perspective heading into this matchup and why.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets Odds
| Team | Spread | Total | MoneyLine |
| Los Angeles Clippers | +3.5
-108 |
O 218.5
-110 |
+140 |
| Denver Nuggets | -3.5
-112 |
U 218.5
-110 |
-166 |
| ** Odds Subject to Change** | |||
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets Game Details
- Fixture: Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Clippers
- Date and Time: April 4, 2024 @ 10:00 PM EST
- Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
- TV: TNT and ALT2
Apex Tale of the Tape
|
Los Angeles Clippers |
vs. |
Denver Nuggets |
| 47-28 | Record | 53-23 |
| 116.0 | Points Per Game | 114.5 |
| 49.2 | FG% | 49.4 |
| 38.7 | 3PT% | 37.2 |
| 42.3 | Rebounds Per Game | 44.4 |
| 112.7 | Points Allowed Per Game | 109.8 |
| 47.1 | Defensive FG% | 46.4 |
| 37.0 | Defensive 3PT% | 35.7 |
| 77.4 | Defensive FT% | 77.2 |
| 30.7 | Defensive Rebounds Per Game | 31.3 |
| 3-2 | Last 5 W-L | 3-2 |
| 96.5 | Team Pace |
96.0 |
Key Stats
Los Angeles Clippers
- Meanwhile, the Clippers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games.
- Los Angeles is 0-5 ATS in its last five home contests.
- In their last six matchups against Western Conference teams, the Clippers are 1-5 against the spread.
- The OVER total cashed in six times in the Clippers’ last eight games.
- In Los Angeles’ last five games against Northwest Division teams, the OVER total prevailed four times.
Denver Nuggets
- The Nuggets are 3-6 ATS in their last nine contests.
- Denver is 6-2 ATS in their last eight matchups against Los Angeles.
- In their last five games against Western Conference opponents, the Nuggets are just 1-4 against the spread.
- The total has gone UNDER eight times in Denver’s last nine road games against the Clippers.
Injury Report
Los Angeles Clippers
- Kawhi Leonard — OUT (Knee)
- Joshua Primo — OUT (Ankle)
Denver Nuggets
- Aaron Gordon — Probable (Foot)
- Jamal Murray — Questionable (Ankle)
- Vlatko Cancar — OUT Indefinitely (Knee)
- Zeke Nnaji — Doubtful (Back)
Game Prediction
The Nuggets opened as a consensus 3.5-point favorite. At the time of this writing, the line is 1.5 points for the road team (per OddShark.com). Denver is 27-31 against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more and it has covered the spread 46.1 percent of the time (35-41).
The Clippers are 4-5 when playing as a 3.5-point underdog and they have covered the spread in 48 percent of their games (36-39). With Leonard sitting this one out, look for the defending champions to cover here.
The projected over/under total for this matchup opened at 218.5 points. The line is holding steady at that point total (per Pre-Game.com). These two teams are averaging 230.5 points per game this season. This is 12 points higher than the projected points total.
The Nuggets games have gone over the projected points total for this matchup 47 times in 76 games (61.8 percent), while the Clippers contests have gone over the 218.5 total 52 times across 75 contests (69.3 percent). Given these trends, going with the “over” is the smart option in this scenario.
Final Pick
Denver Nuggets -3.5 (-112) and Over 218.5 (-110)
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