CFL Week 7 Lions @ Stamps Preview, Prediction, and Odds | July 22, 2024

Week 7 in the CFL wraps up on Sunday, with the high-flying B.C. offense traveling to Calgary to face the new-look Stampeders. Two out of three underdogs have won this week, and the Stamps look to add to the trend. The Lions’ defense has been good enough so far through six games, averaging in the top five in most categories. But it’s the offense that makes this team the scariest foe in the league as we inch closer to the halfway point of the season. The rushing game is in the middle of the pack; besides that, in every other category, they’re in the top two, and mostly number one.

For Calgary, it’s the exact opposite. Their running game is second in the CFL, and everything else is fairly mediocre. Yet, the Stamps find themselves in close games week after week and have proven they can hang with any team in the country. See where these teams fall in our CFL Power Rankings as we put a bow on Week 7.

B.C. Lions vs. Calgary Stampeders Odds

Team Spread  Total  MoneyLine

B.C.

– 3.5

-112

O 54

-105

-205

Calgary

+3.5

-108

U 54

-115

+170

** Odds Subject to Change**

B.C. Lions vs. Calgary Stampeders Match Details

  • Fixture: B.C. Lions @ Calgary Stampeders
  • Date and Time: July 21, 7:00 pm EST
  • Location: Calgary, Alberta
  • Weather: 86 degrees, Sunny, Wind 11 MPH
  • Field Type: Turf

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Apex Tale of the Tape

B.C. vs.  Calgary 
5-1 Record 2-3
30.3 Points Per Game 26.8
84.7 Rushing Yards Per Game 108.8
367.2 Passing Yards Per Game 255.2
57.7 Offensive Plays Per Game 55.0
60.3% 2nd Down Conversion 41.7%
24.2 Points Allowed 28.0
15 Sacks 4
4 Interceptions 7
83.7 Rushing Yards Allowed 106.0
289.8 Passing Yards Allowed 306.4
+1 Turnover Ratio -1
30:18 Time of Possession Per Game 31:48

Key Stats

Embed from Getty Images

B.C. Lions (5-1)

When you think about the B.C. Lions, it starts and ends with this insanely talented offense. QB Vernon Adams Jr. has turned himself into the face of the league, putting up a season for the ages and chasing historic numbers. Through six games, Adams Jr. has racked up 2,203 passing yards, 12 touchdowns, and only three picks. On the ground, he has 152 yards and two scores.

It doesn’t hurt that he has two of the best receivers in the game. Justin McInnis and Alexander Hollins lead the league in receiving yards with 725 and 656, respectively. McInnis is tied for first in the CFL with five touchdowns, while Hollins is right behind him with four. On the ground, RB William Stanback is third in the league with 325 yards.

Because of the star-powered offense, the defense is getting way too overlooked. Since giving up 35 points in Week 1, they have yet to give up 30 since, giving up 17, 24, 21, and 28. With this offense, those numbers will give them the win every time. They lead the league with 15 sacks, are second in points allowed with 24.2, and are third in yards allowed with 351.3.

Calgary Stampeders (2-3)

Calgary has had a better season than a 2-3 record would indicate and was a fourth-quarter collapse against Montreal away from having those numbers flipped around. Two out of their three losses were by one score, and the one that wasn’t was by nine points against the Lions.

QB Jake Maier is putting up the best season of his young career, but the interceptions are leaving more to be desired. He has 1,252 passing yards, eight touchdowns, and five giveaways. Dedrick Mills has had a strong season running the ball, racking up 315 yards. Considering he missed a game due to injury and trails the league leader by 51 yards, he’s right at the top of the league.

After a strong start to the season, the defense has tapered off the last two weeks. They’ve given up 71 points in that time after giving up no more than 26 in a game to start the season. They give up the league-worst 405.6 yards per game, including 306.4 passing yards.

Prediction

Adams Jr. is the frontrunner for the MOP of the CFL and for a very good reason. He is coming off a 451-yard performance and has thrown for 330 yards or more in every game but one. That one was against these same Stamps. Since then, he has thrown for 380+ yards in three out of four games. 345.5 yards is a lot, no doubt, but considering he’s been over that number in four out of six weeks and he’s playing the worst defense in run and pass yards against, we’re taking the OVER at -115.

For receiving yards, we’re taking Hollins to catch over 88.5 yards at -115. He has hit the over in four out of six weeks. Hollins and McInnis are both beasts catching the ball, but the defense will focus on McInnis the most considering his recent hot streak.

This should be a close, well-fought game. Not to mention, Calgary is a tough team to play at home. That being said, this Lions’ offense is just too much to handle. With Calgary’s defense being subpar the last few weeks, they will have to win in a shootout, and I just don’t see that happening.

Final Pick

Lions -3.5 (-112)

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