Kansas Jayhawks vs Baylor Bears Preview, Prediction and Odds | March 2, 2024

Baylor Bears vs Texas Tech

The #7 Kansas Jayhawks (21-7, 9-6) travel to Texas to take on the #15 Baylor Bears (20-8, 9-6) in one of the weekend slate’s top matchups. The two squads are tied for third place in the Big 12, so this game will be crucial for seeding ahead of the conference tournament in 10 days. Whoever loses will be in danger of falling to fifth and missing out on the coveted double-bye. With BYU, Texas Tech and TCU all just one game behind them, the margin for error is slim to none.

Speaking of BYU, the Jayhawks lost their first home game of the season to the Cougars on Tuesday, 76-68.  Bill Self’s squad will look to rebound against the Bears, who are coming off a 62-54 victory against TCU on Monday. It won’t come easy, though, as Baylor sports a 13-2 home record.

#7 Kansas Jayhawks at #15 Baylor Bears Betting Odds

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Team Spread Total Money Line
Kansas Jayhawks +6 (-115) O145 (-110) +205
Baylor Bears -6 (-105) U145 (-110) -250

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Match Details

Fixture: #7 Kansas Jayhawks at #15 Baylor Bears

Date/Time: Saturday, March 2nd; 1:00 pm EST; ABC

Venue: Foster Pavilion; Waco, TX

Team Stats:

Kansas Jayhawks

PPG: 76.6

FG%: 49.8%

3-Point FG%: 34.2%

FT%: 72%

Rebounds: 36.4

Assists: 19.5

Turnovers: 12.7

PPG Allowed: 67.9

Steals: 7.5

Blocks: 3.7

Fouls: 14.7

Baylor Bears

PPG: 81.6

FG%: 48.7%

3-Point FG%: 39.7%

FT%: 73.3%

Rebounds: 35.2

Assists: 15.3

Turnovers: 12.1

PPG Allowed: 70.8

Steals: 6.9

Blocks: 3.3

Fouls: 17.1

Projected Starting Lineups

Kansas Jayhawks

G – Johnny Furphy (9.2 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 0.9 apg)

G – Nicolas Timberlake (4.4 ppg, 1.7 rpg, 0.5 apg)

F – Dajuan Harris Jr. (8.4 ppg, 1.9 rpg, 6.5 apg, 1.5 spg)

F – KJ Adams Jr. (12.3 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 3.3 apg, 1.2 spg)

C – Hunter Dickinson (18.3 ppg, 10.9 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1 spg, 1.2 bpg)

AMES, IA – JANUARY 27: Hason Ward #24 of the Iowa State Cyclones puts defensive pressure on Hunter Dickinson #1 of the Kansas Jayhawks as Dickinson looks to pass the ball in the first half of play at Hilton Coliseum on January 27, 2024 in Ames, Iowa. (Photo by David Purdy/Getty Images)

Baylor Bears

PG – RayJ Dennis (13.3 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 6.6 apg, 1.4 spg)

G – Ja’Kobe Walter (14.8 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.2 spg)

G – Jayden Nunn (10.6 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1.2 spg)

F – Jalen Bridges (11.3 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1 spg)

C – Yves Missi (11 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.6 bpg)

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Kansas at Baylor Prediction

Kansas’ star guard Kevin McCullar is the wildcard in this matchup. The senior has missed time this year due to a knee injury. However, if he can take the floor, the Jayhawks’ chances of pulling off an upset become much more realistic. Self hinted at the former Red Raider possibly being ready, but nothing’s been confirmed. McCullar currently leads the Big 12 in scoring with 19 points per game.

Until he’s officially back, though, let’s operate under the assumption that he won’t play. Picking a shorthanded Kansas team to go on the road and beat a Baylor squad that ranks fifth in the country in three-point shooting (39.7 percent) is a risky play. However, the Jayhawks do have the chops to cover the spread. Hunter Dickinson and KJ Adams should be able to pounce inside against a Bears squad that ranks 132nd in defensive efficiency. Conversely, Kansas ranks 33rd in that department.

Meanwhile, the under has hit in each of the last 15 Jayhawks losses. There’s no reason to bet any differently here, as these teams’ last matchup resulted in just 125 points scored. McCullar was also absent for that game.

Final Pick

Kansas Jayhawks +6 and Under 145

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Joshua is a diehard Yankees, Jets, Knicks, Rutgers, and Tottenham Hotspur fan. He started his journalism career as the Sports Editor for the Rutgers University newspaper. When he’s not watching a game or writing about one, you can find him in an art-house movie theater or working on a screenplay.

Follow him on Twitter @joshvaldez100, and follow us on Twitter @TotalApexSports. To read more of our articles and keep up to date on all the latest in ALL sports, click here.

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