Part four of the wagering series will continue to have football as a focal point to get a betting edge. However, as stated in the previous three wagering articles, the betting edge strategies can be applied to the other major sports. This article will deal with other sharp play angles of line hold and burner liner a. Part three deals with betting probabilities. For reference, the best indicator of a sharp or respected bettor is a reverse line movement, followed by a line hold, burner line, and an odd betting line.
Line Hold Betting Edge
In basic betting terms, a line hold refers to respected or sharp money that was placed on a side or total wager and prevents said line from moving. To further explain, let us use a sample football scenario, the opening betting lines come out and Notre Dame is favored by 7 points over Michigan. We researched the betting numbers and found that 65% of the spread bets are placed on Notre Dame.
In theory, the line should move to Notre Dame -7.5 with that much action on them, however, the line holds firm at 7. The line hold indicates that a respected or sharp bettor has been placed on Michigan to keep the line at 7. Keen sports handicappers will identify this, place a wager on Michigan, and give themselves a betting edge. In this scenario, you may also see the juice adjusted to protect against the Michigan bettors profiting.
Burner Line Betting Edge
In this betting scenario, multiple sharp bettors have spotted an advantageous line and placed large bets at one time. This can also be referred to as a steam movement and once the Vegas sportsbooks spot this, the line will be adjusted. When we see this situation as a sports bettor, we are in essence following the money. This is a betting edge but you have to be careful because you usually see a large percentage of bets associated with this wager, meaning the general betting public is also involved.
Spotting An Odd Line Betting Edge
This scenario happened in college football week 7 between Miami, Ohio, and Eastern Michigan. Eastern Michigan was 4-1 SU, 5-0 ATS, and at home against a 1-4 Miami, Ohio. However, Miami, Ohio was favored by three points, this was an odd line and a betting edge that we wanted to target.
In general, home field is worth a seven-point advantage in football but Vegas books were telling you they felt Miami, Ohio was ten points better by making them a three-point road favorite despite the losing record. Sure enough, Miami, Ohio defeated Eastern Michigan 38-14.
Final Thoughts
To tie this all up the top betting edge scenario we target first and foremost is a reverse line movement, which is the most significant indicator of a sharp or respected bettor. However, there are other scenarios that you can use to gain a betting edge such as an odd betting line, burner line, or a line hold. Be keen, study all the opening lines, and discard right away those with no betting edge. If you want to be a profitable sports bettor, getting an edge is paramount.
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