Gonzaga Bulldogs vs Saint Mary’s, Predictions, and Odds | March 2, 2024

Gonzaga Bulldogs

On Saturday night the #23 Gonzaga Bulldogs (23-6, 13-2) head to Moraga to face the #17 Gaels of Saint Mary’s (24-6, 15-0) in a battle between the top two teams in the WCC.  Saint Mary’s wrapped up the conference on Thursday night, and Gonzaga is guaranteed to finish second but needs a win to feel safe in the Tournament.

#23 Gonzaga Bulldogs at #17 Saint Mary’s Gaels Betting Odds

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Team Spread Total Money Line
Gonzaga Bulldogs +2.5 (-110) O141 (-112) +120
Loyola Chicago Ramblers -2.5 (-110) U141 (-108) -142

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Match Details

Fixture: #23 Gonzaga Bulldogs @ #17 Saint Mary’s Gaels

Date/Time: Saturday, March 2, 2024; 10:00 pm EST (ESPN)

Venue: University Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA

Team Stats:

Gonzaga Bulldogs

PPG: 86.1

FG%: 51.9%

3-Point FG%: 34.7%

FT%: 72.1%

Rebounds: 40.0

Assists: 16.2

Turnovers: 10.3

PPG Allowed: 69.1

Steals: 7.0

Blocks: 4.1

Fouls: 15.9

Saint Mary’s Gaels

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PPG: 70.7

FG%: 45.5%

3-Point FG%: 36.5%

FT%: 69.4%

Rebounds: 35.3

Assists: 12.5

Turnovers: 10.7

PPG Allowed: 60.1

Steals: 6.8

Blocks: 3.5

Fouls: 16.6

Projected Starting Lineups

Gonzaga Bulldogs

PG – Ryan Nembhard (12.6 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 6.3 apg)

G – Nolan Hickman (14.3 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 2.6 apg)

SF – Anton Watson (14.6 ppg, 7.3 rpg, 2.6 apg)

F – Ben Gregg (8.5 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.2 apg)

F – Graham Ike (16.7 ppg, 7.2 rpg, 1.0 apg, 0.7 bpg)

Saint Mary’s Gaels

PG – Augustas Marciulionis (12.5 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 2.6 apg, 0.8 spg)

G – Aidan Mahaney (13.6 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 2.6 apg)

G – Alex Ducas (9.9 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.8 apg)

F – Mason Forbes (4.6 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 0.4 apg)

C – Mitchell Saxen (11.5 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.4 bpg)

Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s Game Prediction

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Gonzaga (23-6, 13-2) has a great record but is in deep trouble leading up to Selection Sunday. They don’t have many quality wins and are only 1-5 against ‘Quad 1’ competition. The Zags have played well on the road however and have only lost twice on the road all year. They also lost the previous game against Saint Mary’s this year which is why the Gaels were able to lock up the WCC already.

Saint Mary’s (24-6, 15-0) is undefeated in conference play after they limped into the WCC with a 9-6 record. Their undefeated conference record allowed them to already lock up the regular season conference title. Are they going to be motivated because of that? It’s Gonzaga so the answer should be yes. The Gaels have only lost twice at home this season and the last time was before conference play started to Missouri State.

These two teams know each other very well and play like complete opposites. Gonzaga’s focus is on offense while Saint Mary’s is focused on defense. The urgency is going to be more on Gonzaga in this game and for that reason, they win the game in a very close matchup.

Bulldogs 80 – Gaels 75

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