The Toronto Argonauts were massive favorites in the East Division final last year, coming off a historic regular season. Who awaited them were the eventual Grey Cup Champions and this year’s juggernaut through three weeks.
The Montreal Alouettes come to town fresh off a 47-21 dismantling of Ottawa in Week 3 and look to extend their perfect start to 4-0.
For the Argonauts, many people wrote this team off to start the year despite going to the Grey Cup two years in a row, winning one of them. Much of that had to do with star QB Chad Kelly being suspended for nine games and the amount of turnover their roster endured.
Both teams have started right where they left off, and we’re in for a beauty of a game on Friday in downtown Toronto.
Team A vs. Team B Odds
Team |
Spread |
Total |
MoneyLine |
MTL Alouettes | -3 (-120) | Over 51 (-110) | -180 |
TOR Argonauts | +3 (+100) | Under 51 (-110) | +150 |
**Odds Subject to Change** |
Team A vs. Team B Match Details
- Fixture: Montreal Alouettes at Toronto Argonauts
-
Date and Time: Friday, June 28, 2024 @ 7:35 pm EST
-
Location: BMO Field, Toronto, Ontario
-
Weather: 68 degrees, Overcast, Wind 11 mph
-
Field Type: Grass
Apex Tale of the Tape
Montreal | vs. | Toronto |
3-0 | Record | 2-0 |
32.3 | Points Per Game | 37.0 |
95.0 | Rushing Yards Per Game | 153.0 |
305.7 | Passing Yards Per Game | 234.0 |
54.7 | Offensive Plays Per Game | 56.0 |
53.5% | 2nd Down Conversion | 59.5% |
17.7 | Points Allowed | 31.5 |
8 | Sacks | 7 |
4 | Interceptions | 1 |
73.3 | Rushing Yards Allowed | 47.5 |
267.0 | Passing Yards Allowed | 352.5 |
+8 | Turnover Ratio | +3 |
32:05 | Time of Possession Per Game | 31:57 |
Key Stats
Montreal Alouettes
Both of these teams are very good and will probably meet in the East Division Final in November. The one big matchup advantage that stands out is the Alouettes’ offense vs. the Argonauts’ defense.
For all the success that the Argos’ run defense has had, their pass defense has been dreadful through the first two games of the season, and Montreal’s passing offense has been smooth sailing.
QB Cody Fajardo has 912 yards through three games, averaging 9.8 yards per attempt. He has 11 TDs, three of which came on passes of 20+ yards.
WR Tyson Philpot is second in the CFL with 340 yards, tied for first in touchdowns with 3, and is averaging 14.8 yards per catch.
On the defensive side of the football, the Als have been a brick wall. They are averaging a season-low 319.7 yards per game and only 73.3 rush yards per game, which is the Argo’s bread and butter.
Toronto Argonauts
The Argonauts’ offense to start the year has been impressive. Their rushing attack has been second to none, and it’s not even close. They are averaging 153.0 yards per game, with Montreal being next in line with 95.0.
QB Cameron Dukes started the season with big shoes to fill, and he’s done a great job managing the game in a professional manner. He’s 39-48, with 468 yards, five touchdowns and no picks.
Toronto’s rushing attack starts with Ka’Deem Carey, who as 169 yards through two games. However, Dukes, Adeboboye, and McMahon are all threats to run the ball.
The problem for the Argos so far has been that they have to score more than 31.5 points to win a game. Their rush defense has been tremendous, allowing 47.5 yards per game. But allowing 352.5 yards through the air is a massive concern heading into Friday night.
Prediction
The Argos will continue to lean on the run to succeed in the passing game. If they can’t get the run going, they’re cooked. This Argos offense won’t be denied, and they will put up a larger number than opponents have had against the Als so far.
QB Cameron Dukes U250.5 passing yards (-120) and RB Ka’Deem Carey O69.5 rushing yards (-115) are my favorite props from an Argos perspective.
Montreal’s offensive efficiency is too great to ignore. QB Cody Fajardo’s O292.5 passing yards (-125) and WR Tyson Philpot’s Anytime TD (-105) are great prop choices for Montreal.
Final Pick
Montreal Alouettes -3 (-120), Over 51 Total Points (-110)
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