Carlos Alcaraz vs. Novak Djokovic, Prediction and Odds | August 4, 2024

Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Spain’s Carlos Alcaraz secured his first-ever berth to play in the Olympic tennis final and will play against Novak Djokovic, who is also looking to secure his first Olympic gold. Despite his massive achievements in tennis, the Serbian tennis player is still missing a gold medal, and he looks forward to the chance to challenge for it in the Paris Olympics 2024. The record-holder of 24 Grand Slam titles will be fighting for more than gold for his country; he will need to cement his legacy as he faces dominant Alcaraz on August 4 in the Olympics.

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Novak Djokovic

Player

Spread

Total

MoneyLine

Alcaraz -1.5 o 21.5 -260
Djokovic +1.5 u 21.5 +180

**Odds Subject to Change**

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Novak Djokovic Match Details

  • Fixture: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Novak Djokovic
  • Date and Time: August 3, 2024@ 8 AM ET
  • Location: Philippe-Chatrier Court, Garros, Paris
  • Court Surface: Clay

Apex Tale of the Tape

 

Alcaraz vs. Djokovic
6’0″ Height 6’22”
163 lbs Weight 170lbs
Spain Country Serbia
3 Rank 2
33-6 YTD W/L 23-7
3-3 H2H Record 3-3
34 Aces 49
158 BP Generated 124
48% BP Conversion Rate 50%
35 Double Faults 22
68% First Serve % 71%
55% Second Serve % 52%

Key Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

Embed from Getty Images

In his young career, Alcaraz has already won four Grand Slam titles, a rare achievement for tennis players. He won the previous French Open played at Rolando Garros in June this year, the same clay court hosting the summer Olympic games.

Alcaraz met the Serbian legend in the Wimbledon final, where he beat him for the second straight time this year. Their head-to-head matchup is even at 3-3, but Alcaraz is stronger and seems the more dominant of the two tennis players. During the  2024 Paris Olympics, the 21-year-old player has kept double faults at a minimum. If this trend persists, Djokovic has a lower chance of winning.

In their last two encounters, the 21-year-old Spaniard gave Djokovic a taste of his power and athletic prowess. Alcaraz did not drop a single game against Musetti and looked unbeatable in his semi-final Olympics match. Even though Novak is another challenge, the Spanish legend in the making will fancy his chances against an older Djokovic.

Novak Djokovic

Despite beating Italy’s Lorenzo Musetti, Djokovic called for a medical timeout during his previous match against Stefanos Tsitisipas due to sharp pain in his already damaged right knee. During the second set, the number two-ranked player in the world was unable to move around the court well.

At 37, Djokovic is set to be the oldest player to participate in the Summer Games tennis final, while Alcaraz, at 21, is the youngest. In 2024, Djokovic has hit more Aces than Alcaraz, but the Spaniard has a better second-serve win percentage.

The Serbian tennis legend will likely struggle to overcome the athletic ability of the Spanish legend in the making. But, he will win a better Olympic medal, a silver medal than the bronze medal he received at the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games.

Prediction

Alcaraz dominantly reached the final, crushing Canada’s Felix Auger-Aliassime, 6-1, 6-1 in quick fashion. The entire match took less than 2 hours as the Canadian player couldn’t keep up with the intensity of the 21-year-old Spanish player. Carolos Alcaraz is playing much better in his first Olympic games, and having won 12 straight matches at Roland Garros will make it difficult for Djokovic to claim his gold medal in the Paris 2024 Olympics.

Many tennis fans wish Alcaraz would be playing a much younger Djokovic, but we don’t expect the young Spaniard to easily roll over Djokovic. Eventually, he will win the matchup and claim gold for Spain in the 2024 Paris Olympics.

Final Pick

Carlos Alcaraz ML(-260)

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