Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers Game 2 Best Bets | April 22, 2025

The Pacers look to continue their winning ways in Game Two against the Bucks in today’s Best Bets. The Bucks desperately need their star PG, Damian Lillard, back after a 117 – 98 routing. Many bettors played the over and got burned in Game 1. Put all recency bias aside because we are betting on this game with data-driven insight to put this outlier game behind us. Get in; we are headed to Bucks town.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers Odds

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers Match Details

• Fixture: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers 
• Date and Time: Tuesday, April 22nd, 7:10 pm Easter 
• Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN 

Best Bets Stats

Under 228.5 (-110)

These two teams are familiar foes, and both push the tempo. In the regular season, the teams combined to average 227.9 points: the Pacers with 117.4 and the Bucks with 115.5. However, all teams’ defensive prowess is ramping up in the playoffs. Out of the 14 playoff games this year, 12 have gone under. The defensive effort is there, and teams are doing better getting through screens to lock down defenders. Until fatigue kicks in, I may ride this trend out until the books adjust. Let’s use the public’s love of overs to make some money.

Milwaukee Bucks Moneyline (+140) with optional Ladder opportunity

The Bucks looked awful in Game 1 and could open up some plus-money variance with upside. With Lillard back, we can see better play-making, plus we have a limitless 3-point shooter back, creating more space around the basket for Giannis. With a +140 line, the books imply a Bucks win at 41.3% but have not adjusted for Dame being back.

Our model suggests a 45.8% win probability. The 4.5% edge is a green light to bet, opening up an expected ROI of 13.7%. Of the 34 full games Dame and Giannis played together, they went 23 – 11, and they won all three games against the Pacers when sharing the floor.

For more conservative bettors, take the +4. I’ll ladder these with Bucks +4 (-110), Bucks ML (+140), and Bucks—2.5 (+178) to play the narrative Bucks get back on track to make this a series. Let’s watch the Bucks return to form while the public overreacts to an outlier game 1.

Best Prop Bets: Myles Turner Under 16.5 Points

This betting card is heavily correlated and aggressive, telling the story of a Bucks win. To increase our expected value, we can lean into this under. Turner can shoot 3s, but the playoff under-trend proves that the NBA’s perimeter defense is on point (pun intended). He scored 17 points in Game 1 but did so on an unsustainable 7-of-10 shooting. He scored 9, 11, 13, and 14 points in the regular season matchups. We should expect more of the same with a Bucks team at full health.

Under 228.5, Bucks ML and Tuner Under 16.5 

Break up your $100 like this to maximize the bets without being too risky:
$25 – U 228.5
$20 – Bucks ML
$25 – Tuner U 16.5 Points
$15 – Bucks + 4
$15 – Bucks -2.5

This combination gives us a +10.03% expected ROI based on data from previous matchups and the current trend of playoff games going under. Discipline your betting and watch the field move lines that give us profitable opportunities.