Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Milwaukee Bucks Preview, Prediction, and Odds| April 12, 2024

Oklahoma City Thunder

One of the games on tap from Friday’s slate features the Milwaukee Bucks(49-31) squaring off against the Oklahoma City Thunder(55-25).

The Bucks have won each of their last two games. However, Damian Lillard is questionable for this matchup and Giannis Antetokounmpo is out indefinitely due to a calf injury. This could be a major blow to the team’s title hopes. 

The Thunder have won seven of their last 10 decisions. Even more important, they are tied with the Minnesota Timberwolves for the second-best record out west, as both teams trail the Denver Nuggets by just one game.

Can the short-handed Bucks pull off the upset or will the Thunder roll to their fourth straight victory?

Bucks vs. Thunder Betting Odds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks.

Team Spread Total MoneyLine
Oklahoma City Thunder -14.5

-112

O 223.5

-110

-1000
Milwaukee Bucks +14.5

-108

U 223.5

-110

+650
**Odds Subject to Change**

Thunder vs. Bucks Game Details

Milwaukee Bucks

  • Fixture: Milwaukee Bucks @ Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Date and Time: Friday, April 12, 2024 @ 8:00 PM ET
  • Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City,  OK
  • TV: NBA TV, KSBI and WMLW

Apex Tale of the Tape

Milwaukee Bucks

vs.

Oklahoma City Thunder

55-25 Record 49-31
119.8 Points Per Game 119.5
49.8 FG% 48.8
38.9 3PT% 37.4
41.9 Rebounds Per Game 44.3
113.1 Points Allowed Per Game  116.3
45.6 Defensive FG%  46.9
 36.3 Defensive 3PT% 35.7
 78.8 Defensive FT% 80.4
32.9 Defensive Rebounds Per Game 33.7
3-2 Last 5 W-L 2-3
97.4 Team Pace 97.7

Key Stats

Milwaukee Bucks

Bucks vs Thunder Preview Predictions and Odds

  • The Bucks are 3-6 ATS in their last nine contests.
  • Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last six matchups against OKC.
  • In their last nine April games, the Bucks are just 2-7 against the spread.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Charlotte Hornets

  • The Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
  • OKC is 0-6 ATS in its last six matchups against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • In their last 15 April games, the Thunder are 5-10 against the spread.

Injury Report

Milwaukee Bucks

  • Damian Lillard — Doubtful (Hip)
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo — OUT Indefinitely (Calf)
  • AJ Green — OUT (Ankle)
  • Jaylin Galloway — OUT (Ankle)

Oklahoma City Thunder

No injuries to report

Game Prediction

Oklahoma opened as a consensus 6.5-point favorite  That line has climbed up to 15 points for the home team (per Pre-Game.com). The Thunder have been a 14.5-point favorite six times this season. In those contests, they are 5-1 against the spread. .

On the flip side of the narrative, the Bucks are 3-7 against the spread as road underdogs this season. Given these trends, combined with the fact that Milwaukee could be without its top two scorers, going with the home team to cover is the smart play here.

The projected over/under total for this matchup opened at 226 points (per OddShark). At the time of this writing, the line has moved to 223.5 points (via DraftKings). These two teams are averaging 239.3 points per game this season. This is 15.8 points higher than the projected points total.

Additionally, opponents of these two squads have averaged 229.4 points per contest, which is 5.9 points more than the point total for this matchup. That said, go with the “over” total here.

Final Pick

Oklahoma City Thunder -14.5 (-110) and Over 223.5 (-110)

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