Onto the Divisional Round, as our Wildcard week parlay was a disappointing 1-2 ATS and dropped our overall record to 33-25 ATS. Please remember to play these on a money line parlay and straight-up because parlays are not a long-term profitable betting strategy. Our weekly picks target games seeing respected money and those where Vegas books have a heavy liability—in other words, the betting outcome that Vegas books need to profit on the day. The betting lines discussed are the consensus at Vegas Insider and are subject to change.
Please continue to check this article link or via social media to view the bonus leans section, which will be updated both Saturday and Sunday morning with additional sharp plays or Vegas Sportsbook needs. It’s Divisional Round Weekend so let’s bang out a winner, and remember: Follow or Fade!
Parlay Leg #1: Houston Texans +8.5
Play number one of this week’s parlay will be the Houston Texans +8.5 over the Kansas City Chiefs. We liked the Texans last week against the Chargers, and they delivered as an outright underdog winner. The Chiefs will no doubt be the public darling and tied to a ton of parlays and teasers. Therefore Vegas books will most likely need a Texans cover at a minimum.
Kansas City defeated Houston 27-19 back in Week 16 and covered as the 3.5-point chalk. If you followed us all year, one of our staple plays is the Revenge Angle. The Chiefs were 7-9-1 ATS this season and are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten overall. Conversely, Houston is 3-2 ATS in their last five overall and as an underdog. Houston Texans +8.5 for play number one!
Parlay Leg #2: Los Angeles Rams +7.5 (Alternate Spread)
The middle leg will be the Los Angeles Rams +7.5 over the Philadelphia Eagles. The Rams opened up at 6.5 and saw sharp money on them right away and moved the line down to 6. We like the idea of catching points with a game total in the lower 40s. The Rams have a championship pedigree, and it goes without fail each year a lower seed makes a playoff run. Los Angeles’ defense looked very strong on the road in the Wildcard round.
The Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last five, 7-3 ATS in their last ten, and 5-0 ATS in the last five away games. We will buy a full point and a half here to get the betting edge. Rams +7.5 for play number two.
Parlay Leg #3: Baltimore Ravens-Buffalo Bills over 51 (Alternate Total)
Our anchor leg will be the Baltimore Ravens-Buffalo Bills over the 51. Another of our betting edge plays we like is the next or opposite angle. The first meeting between these two teams in September went under the posted 47.5-point total. These teams feature offenses scoring over 30 points per game, and the books are telling us something by setting the over/under in the rematch at 51.5.
The over is 7-3 in Buffalo’s last ten overall and at home. On the other side, Baltimore has sailed over the total in eight of their last ten road games. We will buy the half point and take Ravens-Bills over 51 to close out our parlay!
Total Parlay Odds: ATS +521 / ML +2829
*Odds Via FanDuel Sportsbook and Subject to Change*
Bonus Leans: TBD on social media
