Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs Preview, Prediction, & Odds | NFL Week 16, 2024

Kansas City Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs are hosting the Houston Texans this Saturday! The Chiefs are coming off a big-time win last week against the Cleveland Browns 21-7. On the flip side, the Houston Texans are coming off a win over the Miami Dolphins 20-12. Patrick Mahomes’ ankle is on ankle watch to see if he plays after getting it rolled up last week. Will the Chiefs extend their winning streak to five in a row or will the Texans hand the Chiefs their 2nd loss of the season? Let’s dive straight into this game and cook up a winning slip!

Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs Odds

Team Spread Total Money Line
Houston Texans  +3.5 (-118) Over 41.5 (-110) +144
Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 (-104) Under 41.5 (-110) -172
**Odds Subject to Change**

Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs Match Details

  • Fixture: Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs
  • Date and Time: December 21st, 2024 @ 1 PM EST

Key Stats

Oct 31, 2024; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) throws a pass against the New York Jets during the first half at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ed Mulholland-Imagn Images

Houston Texans

The Houston Texans are coming off a gritty win last week against the Miami Dolphins, 20-12. CJ Stroud played a solid and efficient game in the win. He completed 18 of 26 passes for 131 yards and 2 touchdowns. Nico Collins was Stroud’s safety net once again with 4 catches for 17 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Joe Mixon had a subpar game with only 56 yards from scrimmage, 23 rushing yards, and 33 receiving yards. This was not the most prolific offense performance. Houston only tallied 181 offensive yards and lost the time-of-possession battle. The Texans must be better going into Arrowhead if they want to defend the Chiefs.

The Texans’ defense has been one of the best defenses in the NFL this season. They are ranked 0th in points allowed per game, 6th in passing yards allowed per game, 10th in rushing yards allowed per game, 13th in offensive touchdowns allowed per game, 2nd in sacks, and 2nd in takeaways per game.

In the grand scheme of things, this is a healthy team. John Metchie III and Folorunso Fatukasi have already been ruled out for this game. If the Texans are going to leave Arrowhead with a win, it will be behind a dominant defense that bullies the Kansas City Chiefs offensive line.

Kansas City Chiefs

The Kansas City Chiefs dominated the Cleveland Browns last week in Cleveland, 21-7. Patrick Mahomes was solid, despite being under duress all game long. Mahomes completed 19 of 38 passes for 159 yards and 2 touchdowns. Xavier Worthy led the team with 46 yards receiving and a touchdown.

He also had 3 carries for 30 yards. Isiah Pacheco had a subpar game in his second game back. He finished the game with 27 yards from scrimmage, 13 carries for 32 yards, and 1 catch for 15 yards. This offense must be efficient and take advantage of short fields generated by their great defense.

This Chiefs’ defense has been one of the best all season long. They are ranked 4th in points allowed per game, 14th in passing yards allowed per game, 3rd in rushing yards allowed per game, 5th in offensive touchdowns allowed, 20th in sacks, and 15th in takeaways per game.

When you look at injuries, the Chiefs only have one notable name on the list. Chamarri Conner has already been ruled out for this game. On the bright side, Marquise Brown is listed as questionable and has a chance to play in this game which would be his first game played this season. This should be an outstanding game between two of the best teams in the AFC.

Prediction

The Kansas City Chiefs are going to beat the Houston Texans and cover the 3.5-point spread in this game. Despite the ankle injury Mahomes sustained, we have seen this before. Pat said if it was a playoff game he would have gone back in the game which tells me it’s not as bad as it looked and we have evidence of Mahomes playing hobbled before. CJ Stroud hasn’t lived up to his 1st to 2nd year jump. KC is playing better at this point in the season and has more to play for. Mahomes plays well enough to win this game and KC moves to 14-1 on the season.

Final Pick

Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 (-104)

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