Week 9 of the NFL football season is upon us and let’s get to this week’s three-team parlay. In addition, we play these picks on a money line parlay and straight up. Last week we went 2-1 ATS and got back on track a bit. A late field goal by San Francisco blocked our parlay, but the Eagles won outright. As you know by now, we tend to avoid public plays, which are traditionally the betting favorite. Our record on the season stands at 10-14 ATS.
In addition, we will play these weekly selections straight up and in a money-line parlay. Our weekly Parlay target games with a reverse line movement and those where Vegas books have a heavy liability on one team. In other words, the betting outcome that Vegas books need to profit on the day. The betting lines are those posted by the consensus at Vegas Insider and are subject to change.
We are adding a bonus leans section that will be updated with plays the Vegas Sportsbooks needs to profit on the day. So be sure to keep checking back to our parlay betting article link. Here we go with our week nine plays, follow or fade.
Parlay Leg #1: Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins over 48
The opening leg of this week’s parlay is the Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins over 48. This is the second meeting this year between the two AFC East foes, with Buffalo defeating Miami 31-10 in week two. We will play on the next or opposite betting angle that we spoke of in part three of our betting edge series. Week two’s game total of 41 went under the posted betting total of 49. The over is 6-4 in the Bills’ last 10 games and 8-2 in their last 10 as a favorite.
Parlay Leg #2: Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants over 43
In the middle leg, we find another rematch with our next or opposite betting angle. We like the Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants over 43. These NFC East teams met in week two with Washington defeating the Giants 21-18 and cashing the under 43. The opening total of 42 has climbed to its current 43.5, with a majority of bets on the over. Washington is one of the top over teams in the league this season at 5-3 and are 5-0 in their last five away games
The Giants are not a great over team this season, but their offense showed some life Monday night against a tough Steelers defense. We will buy the half point down and play on the over 43 in the middle leg of this week’s parlay.
Parlay Leg #3: Denver Broncos +10.5 (Alternate Spread)
We have a side play this week for the anchor leg of our parlay. We are backing the Denver Broncos +10 versus the Baltimore Ravens. We spot a burner line here with Denver seeing the majority of the spread and money bets. This in turn drove the line to 9, a full point-and-a-half from the opening 10.
Bo Nix has come on nicely the last three to four weeks and the Broncos have won two straight and five of six. Denver is 6-2 ATS this year and 4-1 ATS as an underdog this year. Lamar Jackson is 2-11-1 ATS the last four years as a touchdown or more favorite. Give us the Broncos and we will buy back the line to get us on the right number.
Total Parlay Odds: +478
*Odds Via FanDuel Sportsbook and Subject to Change*
Bonus Leans:
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