On Tuesday, the Philadelphia Phillies are taking on the New York Mets in game three of the NLDS. The Phillies avoided an 0-2 hole in game three. Coming back from down 3-0 in the bottom of the 6th with back-to-back home runs and still needed a walk-off one-run single in the bottom of the ninth by Nick Castellanos. If game three is like the first two games, this should be an exciting game and series. So let’s cut the chit-chat and jump straight into game three of the NLDS!
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Odds
| Team | Spread | Total | Money Line |
| Phillies | -1.5 (+155) | Over 7 (-122) | -100 |
| Mets | +1.5 (-188) | Under 7 (+100) | -106 |
| **Odds Subject to Change** | |||
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Match Details
- Fixture: Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
- Date and Time: October 8th, 2024 @ 5:08 PM ESY
- Location: Citi Field, Flushing, New York
Key Stats
Philadelphia Phillies
There’s an argument to be made that the Philadelphia Phillies have been the better team through two games. In game one, they got seven shutout innings from Zack Wheeler then Philly blew their one-run lead. In game two, after falling 0-3 Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos would go back to back to tie the game at three and still needed a walk-off single to escape game two with a win. If the Phillies can put up their regular season average of 4.84 runs per game, they should be in a great spot to win.
Aaron Nola has been named the probable starter for this game. Nola had a record of 14-8 in the regular season and was 5th in the MLB in innings pitches with 199.1. Over his last three games, he has gone at least five innings and has given a total of six runs to 23 strikeouts. Nola is a dominant pitcher in the playoffs. Last season, in his four starts, Nola had a record of 3-1 with a 2.35 ERA with 23 strikeouts with 23 innings pitched.
New York Mets
The New York Mets could easily be up 2-0 in this series. They are coming home where they have a record of 46-34, the 4th best winning % at home. After splitting the first two games, that gives hope to a team that refuses to give up no matter the deficit. Down 6-4 in the top of the 9th, Mark Vientos hit the game-tying home run. All the Mets’ big-time hitters have been performing solidly in this series. Francisco Lindor is 2/8 with three runs scored in the series, Brandon Nimmo is 4/9 with a home run and three RBIs, and Pete Alonso is 1/8 with a home run and two RBIs.
Sean Manaea has been named the probable starter for this game. Manaea had a record of 12-6 in the regular season with an ERA of 3.47. In his last three games, he’s pitched 15 2/3 innings and has given up ten earned runs with 11 Ks. If the Mets want a chance to take a commanding 2-1 series lead in this NLDS, they are going to need a pitching gem against the Phillies. In Manaea’s last start against Philly, he went 7 innings, giving up three runs and six Ks.
Prediction
The Philadelphia Phillies are going to beat the New York Mets in this game. It’s simple, if Aaron Nola pitches, you take the Phillies. He is a good pitcher against a lineup he has had success against. In his career, Nola has allowed the Mets’ batters to a .217 batting average, 133/613 overall with 205 Ks and 20 home runs. The last game was the Nick Castellanos game, game three should be the Bryce Harper game. He’s hitting 2/5 with a home run, and two RBIs, and has been walked twice in each game. The Philadelphia Phillies go up 2-1 on the New York Mets in this NLDS series.
Final Pick
Philadelphia Phillies ML (-110)
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