North Carolina vs Duke Prediction and Odds | September 28, 2024

The Duke Blue Devils (4-0) host the North Carolina Tar Heels (3-1) on Saturday afternoon in a battle between two ACC rivals.

Duke took care of business against Middle Tennessee last week, winning 45-17 on the road. QB Maalik Murphy threw for three TDs and 216 yards in the win.

North Carolina lost 70-50 to James Madison, and while they totaled 616 yards of offense, they turned the ball over five times and gave up 611 yards.

Will the Blue Devils remain undefeated, or will the Tar Heels bounce back in Durham?

North Carolina vs Duke Odds

Team Spread Total Money Line
North Carolina +2.5 (-110) O 55.5 (-110) +112
Duke -2.5 (-110) U 55.5 (-110) -134
**Odds Subject to Change**

North Carolina vs Duke Match Details

  • Fixture: North Carolina Tar Heels @ Duke Blue Devils
  • Date and Time: Saturday, September 28, 2024, 4:00 PM EST
  • Location: Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium

Key Stats

Duke

Duke Blue Devils

The Blue Devils come in averaging 30.8 points per game. QB Maalik Murphy has thrown for 1017 yards this season. He’s thrown for 11 TDs through the air, and he’s thrown 4 Interceptions. RB Star Thomas has rushed for 314 yards on 69 attempts. He’s also rushed for 2 TDs this season. WR Jordan Moore leads the team with 340 yards on 24 receptions. He has caught 3 TD passes this year.

Duke’s defense has been a strength this season. The Blue Devils allow 15.3 points per game. The Blue Devils are giving up 259.3 yards of total offense per game this year. They also allow 132 passing yards per game. The Blue Devils’ opponents are averaging 127.3 rushing yards. LB Alex Howard has been a bright spot on defense, entering with three sacks, 36 tackles, and eight tfl. Also, Safety Terry Moore has recorded two interceptions.

North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina’s offense has been good this year. The Tar Heels average 38 points per game. QB Jacolby Criswell has thrown for 638 yards this season. He also enters Saturday’s game with 4 TDs and 2 Interceptions on the year. RB Omarion Hampton has rushed for 555 yards on 85 attempts. He’s also rushed for 6 TD this season. WR J.J. Jones leads the team with 175 yards on 11 receptions. He also has 0 TDs this season. The Tar Heels allow 29.3 points per game.

The Tar Heels allow 345 yards of total offense on average. They’re also giving up 238.3 passing yards per game. The Tar Heels’ opponents average 106.8 rushing yards this season. DL Jahvaree Ritzie has stood out on defense, coming in with five sacks, 12 tackles, and five tfl.

Prediction

Duke has been consistent on both sides of the ball, but their schedule hasn’t been too tough to start the year. UNC had a rough performance against James Madison, but they’re still enjoying a very solid season overall. Their defense has been weak, but their offense has been great, which is a recipe for the total to go over. Here, we’re going with the first half to go over, as North Carolina’s game saw 74 total points in the first half last week, and Duke’s had 45.

Final Pick

1st Half Total Points Over 27.5 (+100)

 

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