Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome back to our WNBA coverage here at Total Apex Sports. One of the games on tap from today’s slate features the Connecticut Sun squaring off against the Los Angeles Sparks.
As has been the case with most of my WNBA matchups thus far, this game features a pair of teams trending in opposite directions. The Connecticut Sun enters this matchup riding a three-game winning streak following an 82-75 loss against the New York Liberty back on June 8th. They are the league’s top team at 12-1.
Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Sparks have had a rough time in 2024, to put it nicely. They were 1-4 through their first five games and have since posted seven losses across their last 10 games. That said, it is of little surprise that they have the third-worse record in the association.
Now that we have the preliminary stuff out of the way, here is a look at which player props you should pay attention to in this matchup.
Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks Preview
Let’s take a look at the road team first. Dearice Hambry is the engine that makes this team go. Hamby leads Los Angeles in scoring, rebounding, assists, and even steals. For obvious reasons, Hamby is the key player to watch for Los Angeles in this matchup. She currently has +110 odds of scoring more than 17.5 points and -140 odds of finishing with less than 17.5 points (via DraftKings).
Here is a look at how her numbers stack up against the projected points total for this matchup.
- During the season, Hamby is putting up 19.0 points per contest.
- In three regular-season games against the Sun in 2023, Hamby averaged just 10.0 points per outing, which is 7.5 points less than the total for this matchup.
- Hamby has suited up against teams in the Eastern Conference six times this season. In those contests, she is averaging 17.7 points per outing.
- In seven road contests this season, the Los Angeles Sparks forward is averaging 19.3 points per game.
- Over her last five outings, Hamby has averaged 16.4 points, 10.4 rebounds, and 4.0 assists per contest, exceeding the points total for this matchup twice during that stretch.
Prediction: Dearica Hamby OVER 17.5 points
On the other side of this Sun-Sparks matchup, DeWanna Bonner is the Connecticut Sun’s leading scorer. However, Alyssa Thomas leads the team in rebounding, assists, and steals. Those numbers, combined with the fact that she is capable of putting up a triple-double in any given game, Thomas is the key player to watch for the home team.
She currently has -115 odds of scoring less than 13.5 points and -115 odds of finishing with less than 13.5 points. Will Thomas’ numbers favorably compare to the points total for this matchup? Let’s take a look at the tale of the tape to find out.
- During the season, Thomas is averaging 12.8 points per contest.
- In the three regular-season meetings between these teams last season, Thomas averaged 20.0 points per outing, which is 6.5 points higher than her estimated points total for this matchup.
- Thomas has faced off against Western Conference foes four times this season. In those contests, she has averaged 14.0 points per game.
- In eight home contests, the versatile Connecticut Sun forward is averaging 11.6 points per game.
- Across her last five outings, Thomas has averaged 11.4 points, 10.6 rebounds, and 6.8 assists per contest, exceeding the points total for this matchup only once during that stretch.
Prediction: Alyssa Thomas OVER 13.5 points
James Tillman’s Sun vs. Sparks Player Prop Picks
- Player Prop Bet #1: Dearica Hamby (Los Angeles Sparks) OVER 17.5 points
- Player Prop Bet #2: Alyssa Thomas (Connecticut Sun) OVER 13.5 points
About The Author
James Tillman III is an accounting professional, but sports writing is his passion. In addition to doing betting content for Total Apex Sports, James has over 15 years of experience publishing online sports content with multiple outlets, such as FanSided, Odds USA, Onlinebetting.com (OBCOM), Godzilla Wins, and Give Me Sport.
James’s content focuses on the NBA, WNBA, and NFL. He researches various trends to support his picks and ensures that he provides his audience with the information they need to make informed decisions about upcoming games.
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