APRIL 26, 2024 — Greetings, basketball fans. Welcome back to our NBA playoff coverage here at Total Apex Sports. One of the games on tap from today’s slate features the Phoenix Suns (49-35 SU, 35-47-2) hosting the Minnesota Timberwolves (58-26 SU, 42-41-1 ATS).
Can the Suns find a way to bounce back from back-to-back losses in the first two games of the series, or will the Timberwolves take a commanding 3-0 lead?
Suns vs. Timberwolves Betting Odds
| Team | Spread | Total | MoneyLine |
| Phoenix Suns | -4.5
-108 |
O 207.5
-110 |
-180 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | +4.5
-112 |
U 207.5
-110 |
+150 |
| **Odds Subject to Change** | |||
Suns vs. Timberwolves Game Details
- Fixture: Phoenix Suns vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Date and Time: Friday, April 26, 2024 @ 10:30 PM ET
- Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ
Apex Tale of the Tape
|
Phoenix Suns |
vs. |
Minnesota Timberwolves |
| 0-2 | Record | 2-0 |
| 94.0 | Points Per Game | 112.5 |
| 44.4 | FG% | 47.6 |
| 34.0 | 3PT% | 32.8 |
| 34.5 | Rebounds Per Game | 45.5 |
| 112.5 | Points Allowed Per Game | 94.0 |
| 47.6 | Defensive FG% | 44.4 |
| 32.8 | Defensive 3PT% | 34.0 |
| 88.5 | Defensive FT% | 79.5 |
| 34.0 | Defensive Rebounds Per Game | 27.5 |
| 3-2 | Last 5 W-L | 3-2 |
| 98.3 | Team Pace | 97.1 |
Key Stats
Phoenix Suns
- The Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last seven contests.
- Phoenix is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six matchups against Minnesota.
- In their last 14 Friday night games, the Suns are 4-10 against the spread.
Minnesota Timberwolves
- The Timberwolves are 2-4 ATS in their last six outings.
- Minnesota is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games against Phoenix.
- In their last 14 road contests, the Timberwolves are 10-4 against the spread
Injury Report
Phoenix Suns
- Damion Lee — OUT Indefinitely (Knee)
- Grayson Allen — Questionable (Ankle)
Minnesota Timberwolves
- Kyle Anderson — Questionable (Hip)
Game Prediction
Milwaukee opened as a 3.5-point favorite. At the time of this writing, the line has moved to four points for the home team (per OddShark.com).
The Suns are 16-25-1 in the 42 games they have been installed as a favorite by four points or more. Although the Timberwolves ATS record when playing as an underdog of at least four points isn’t elite (4-6), they cover the spread at a slightly higher rate than the Suns in this scenario (40 percent compared to 38.1 percent).
With that in mind, go with the Suns to win a close one, but opt for Minnesota to cover the spread as the home team tries to get the series closer.
The projected over/under total for this matchup opened at 209 points, but the line has moved to 207.5 points (per Pre-Game.com). Here’s a look at why going with the “over” is the smart play here.
- The total has gone OVER five times in the Timberwolves last seven games overall.
- Additionally, in Minnesota’s last eight matchups against Pacific Division opponents, the OVER total is 6-2.
- Phoenix and Minnesota have averaged 229.2 points per game, which is 21.7 points more than the over/under (207.5).
- Opponents of these two teams are averaging 219.7 points per outing, which is 12.2 higher than the projected points total for this matchup.
Final Pick
Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5 (-115) and Over 207.5 (-110)
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