OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS. PHOENIX SUNS TOP PROP BETS — MARCH 3, 2024 — Happy Sunday, basketball fans. Welcome back to our NBA coverage here at Total Apex Sports.
This contest features a pair of teams looking to get back on track following losses in their previous outings. Here is a look at my top prop bets in this Western Conference tilt.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns Preview
At the time of this writing, there are no prop bets available for any of the Suns players. With that in mind, I will focus on a couple of different prop bets for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
Let’s start with the scoring angle first. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander currently has -140 odds of scoring more than 31.5 points and +110 odds of finishing with less than 31.5 points (per DraftKings).
Here is a glance to see how his numbers compare to the projected point total for this matchup.
- SGA played against the Suns 12 times during his career. In those contests, he has averaged 23.5 points per contest.
- During the season, Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.2 points per outing.
- In 29 road contests this season, he is averaging 30.9 PPG.
- Gilgeous-Alexander has played against Western Conference teams 38 times this season. In those contests, he is averaging 30.5 points per outing.
- In eight appearances on Sunday this season, SGA is averaging 27.8 points per game.
- Over his last 10 outings, Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.5 points per game while exceeding the points total for this matchup three times during that stretch.
Given the above trends, going with the “under” for Gilgeous-Alexander is the smart choice here.
Prediction: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander UNDER 31.5 points
Next, we will take a look at Gilgeous-Alexander’s long-range capability. He currently has +120 odds of making more than 1.5 3-pointers and -160 odds of finishing with less than 1.5 made 3-pointers (per PointsBet).
Let’s take a deep dive to see how his numbers stack up against the projected made 3-point shots total for this matchup.
- On the season, Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 1.3 makes from distance.
- In 29 home contests, he is averaging 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest.
- SGA has played against Western Conference teams 38 times this season. In those contests, he is averaging 1.2 made 3-pointers.
- In 13 matchups against Pacific Division opponents, Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 1.4 3-point makes per outing.
- Over his last five outings, SGA is averaging 2.2 3-point makes points per contest, exceeding the estimated total for this matchup three times during that stretch.
Prediction: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander UNDER 1.5 three-point shots
James Tillman’s Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns Picks
- The Spread: Los Angeles Clippers (+1)
- Over/Under: OVER 235 points
- Player Prop Bet #1: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander UNDER 31.5 points
- Player Prop Bet #2: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander UNDER 1.5 made three-point shots
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