#7 North Carolina Tar Heels vs. #9 Duke Blue Devils Preview, Prediction, and Odds| March 9, 2024

north carolina tar heels

The North Carolina Tar Heels (24-6, 16-3) take on their hated rival, the Duke Blue Devils (24-6, 15-4) in the latest edition of the best rivalry in college basketball on Tobacco Road. If Duke wins, they will clinch a share of the ACC Title with North Carolina.

The Tar Heels have won six of their last seven games and five straight overall, while Duke has won eight of their last nine games and three in a row. The Tar Heels won the first matchup this season 93-84 at home. This game will determine who is the top seed in the ACC title game

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils Betting Odds

Team Spread Total MoneyLine
North Carolina +5

-108

O 149.5

-118

+190
Duke -5

-112

U 149.5

-102

-230
**Odds Courtesy of DraftKings*

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils Game Details

  • Fixture: North Carolina @ Duke
  • Date and Time: March 9, 2024 @ 6:30 pm EST
  • Location: Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, NC

Total Apex Tale of the Tape

North Carolina vs. Duke
24-6 Record 24-6
81.5 Points Per Game 80.2
44.8 FG% 48.5
35.6 3PT% 38
41 Rebounds Per Game 36.7
69.8 Points Allowed Per Game 66.7
40.3 Defensive FG% 42.9
31 Defensive 3PT% 31.9
74.1 Defensive FT% 69
34.3 Defensive Rebounds Per Game 31.2
5-0 Last 5 W-L 4-1

Key Stats

North Carolina Tar Heels

Duke’s strength has been their balance with their offense being the seventh-ranked adjusted offense in KenPom at 123.3 and the 22nd adjusted defense at 96.9. They are also top-50 in points scored at 80.2 points per game and in points allowed at 66.7 points per game. Five different players on the Blue Devils average over double digits with Kyle Filipowski being their primary scorer at 16.5 points per game.

Duke Blue Devils

The Tar Heels are also very balanced with the sixth-ranked adjusted defense on KenPom at 93.5 and the 25th-adjusted offense at 118.1. They are also a top-25 scoring offense at 81.5 points per game. Four Tar Heels average over double digits with RJ Davis being a superstar and capable of taking over a game at 21.5 points per game.

Game Prediction

These two teams are always very evenly matched, but with the game at Duke, all the momentum is on the Blue Devils’ side. These two should play another classic matchup with Filipowski and Davis being standouts in this matchup. This should be a close game as usual. However, Duke should be able to get revenge on the Tar Heels and win and cover at home to close out the regular season.

Final Prediction

Duke -5

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